Tunisia U20 vs Morocco U20 Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Tunisia U20
Final Score
0 – 0
(HT 0-0)
Morocco U20
Kick-off 17:00 Stadium Suez Canal Stadium

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Tunisia U20 opened at -0.25 against Morocco U20 in the Africa Cup of Nations U20. The current market consensus is -0.25, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 1 of 1 valid books, with 100% agreement.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.09
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.25 / 1.35
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Tunisia U20 -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 1 / 1 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.34
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.34 AH points more toward Morocco U20 than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

The current market does not provide sufficient validation for a tradable signal.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
1 / 1 valid books · 100% agreement · Insufficient

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → -0.25
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
-0.25
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
14:09
Opening
-0.25
14:09
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
17:00
PRE1
-0.25
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.

No sharp books on this market.

Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
1xBet -0.25 3.15 / 1.58 -0.25 3.15 / 1.58 -0.25 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 8.50 3.45
-1.00 7.10 2.75
-0.25 3.15 1.58
0 2.70 1.40
+0.25 2.21 1.31
+1.00 1.40 1.05
+1.50 1.25 1.04
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing was captured at PRE1.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
More