Mebrat Hayl vs Adama Kenema Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Mebrat Hayl
Final Score
0 – 1
(HT 0-1)
Adama Kenema
Kick-off 12:00

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Mebrat Hayl opened at 0 against Adama Kenema in the Premier League. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.09
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.35 / 1.25
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Mebrat Hayl 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 5 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.09
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.09 AH points more toward Mebrat Hayl than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

No positive price advantage at the valid market line.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
17:53
Opening
0
12:01
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.72 / 1.95 0 1.72 / 1.95 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.76 / 2.01 0 1.77 / 2.03 — 0
Bet365 0 1.75 / 2.05 0 1.75 / 2.05 — 0
1xBet 0 1.72 / 1.95 0 1.72 / 1.95 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.72 / 1.97 0 1.72 / 1.96 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.25 7.40
-1.25 5.71 6.90
-1.00 5.15 6.30
-0.75 3.35 3.98
-0.25 2.20 2.52
0 1.72 1.95
+0.25 1.44 1.55
+0.75 1.18 1.25
+1.00 1.06 1.10
+1.25 1.04 1.08
+1.50 1.03 1.06

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.75 2.05

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.57 2.91
-0.25 2.15 2.44
0 1.72 1.96
+0.25 1.47 1.60
+0.50 1.34 1.43

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.50 8.80
-1.50 6.25 7.40
-1.25 5.70 6.90
-1.00 5.15 6.30
-0.75 3.34 3.96
-0.25 2.19 2.49
0 1.72 1.95
+0.25 1.42 1.54
+0.75 1.17 1.24
+1.00 1.06 1.10
+1.25 1.04 1.08
+1.50 1.03 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.67 4.26
-0.50 2.86 3.26
-0.25 2.34 2.68
0 1.77 2.03
+0.25 1.44 1.57
+0.50 1.30 1.38
+0.75 1.19 1.25
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
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