Karabük İdman Yurdu vs Beykoz Anadolu Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Karabük İdman Yurdu
Oct 07, 2026 - 12:00
1.33 1.27
Beykoz Anadolu
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Karabük İdman Yurdu opened at -0.25 against Beykoz Anadolu in the Türkiye Kupası. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.05
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Karabük İdman Yurdu -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.20
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.20 AH points more toward Beykoz Anadolu than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Karabük İdman Yurdu -0.25
@ 2.68
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.20
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.27
Price Advantage
+18.1%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.55 / 1.81 -0.25 2.38 / 1.94 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.00 / 1.70 0 2.01 / 1.70 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 2.68 / 1.90 -0.25 2.68 / 1.90 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.61 / 1.81 -0.25 2.43 / 1.94 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.66 / 1.83 -0.25 2.50 / 1.92 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.05
xG 1.33 / 1.27 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.38
Karabük İdman Yurdu @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.27
Karabük İdman Yurdu @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.38 vs 2.27
Market price is 4.8% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.80 4.45
-1.25 4.99 4.00
-1.00 4.95 3.58
-0.75 3.34 2.62
-0.25 2.43 1.94
0 2.07 1.68
+0.25 1.71 1.50
+0.75 1.38 1.24
+1.00 1.21 1.11
+1.25 1.17 1.11
+1.50 1.14 1.07

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 7.00 4.15
-1.25 6.40 3.70
-1.00 5.90 3.45
-0.75 3.90 2.60
-0.50 3.10 2.15
-0.25 2.68 1.90
0 2.30 1.60
+0.25 1.90 1.45
+0.50 1.68 1.35
+0.75 1.48 1.24
+1.00 1.30 1.13
+1.25 1.26 1.12
+1.50 1.22 1.10

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.50 1.92
0 2.12 1.62
+0.25 1.76 1.45

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.80 4.45
-1.00 4.95 3.58
-0.75 3.34 2.62
-0.25 2.38 1.94
0 2.07 1.68
+0.25 1.71 1.47
+0.75 1.38 1.24
+1.00 1.21 1.11
+1.50 1.14 1.07

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.65 2.28
-0.25 2.33 2.01
0 2.01 1.70
+0.25 1.72 1.50
+0.50 1.54 1.39
Primary Bets
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