French Guyana vs Belize Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

French Guyana
Oct 07, 2026 - 02:00 2H
0 1.28
0 1.32
Belize
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
6 / 6 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

French Guyana opened at -0.25 against Belize in the CONCACAF Nations League. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
French Guyana -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.29
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.29 AH points more toward Belize than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Belize +0.25
@ 2.75
Best Available Price · Betano
Line Edge
0.29
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.70
Price Advantage
+61.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.72 / 2.86 -0.25 1.83 / 2.65 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.83 / 2.65 -0.25 1.89 / 2.71 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.90 / 2.75 -0.25 1.92 / 2.68 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.76 / 2.86 -0.25 1.87 / 2.65 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.85 / 2.75 -0.25 1.85 / 2.75 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.74 / 2.91 -0.25 1.85 / 2.72 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.04
xG 1.28 / 1.32 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.89
French Guyana @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.42
French Guyana @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.89 vs 2.42
Market price is 21.9% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.60 7.70
-1.25 4.10 7.09
-1.00 3.50 6.40
-0.75 2.56 4.00
-0.25 1.87 2.65
0 1.57 2.27
+0.25 1.38 1.84
+0.75 1.17 1.40
+1.00 1.05 1.22
+1.25 1.04 1.16
+1.50 1.03 1.13

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.25 4.15 6.80
-1.00 3.55 6.25
-0.75 2.68 4.00
-0.50 1.92 3.10
-0.25 1.92 2.68
0 1.60 2.30
+0.25 1.45 1.88
+0.50 1.35 1.88
+0.75 1.23 1.45
+1.00 1.12 1.27
+1.25 1.10 1.22

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.85 2.72
0 1.54 2.27
+0.25 1.38 1.82

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.85 2.75
+0.25 1.42 1.90

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.60 7.70
-1.25 4.10 7.10
-1.00 3.50 6.40
-0.75 2.56 4.00
-0.25 1.83 2.65
0 1.57 2.27
+0.25 1.38 1.80
+0.75 1.17 1.40
+1.00 1.05 1.22
+1.25 1.04 1.16
+1.50 1.03 1.13

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.17 3.11
-0.25 1.89 2.71
0 1.58 2.32
+0.25 1.42 1.89
+0.50 1.33 1.66
Primary Bets
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