St. Kitts and Nevis vs Grenada Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

St. Kitts and Nevis
Sep 29, 2026 - 00:00
1.36 1.24
Grenada
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 5 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

St. Kitts and Nevis opened at -0.25 against Grenada in the CONCACAF Nations League. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.11
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
St. Kitts and Nevis -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.14
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 5 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.14 AH points more toward Grenada than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
St. Kitts and Nevis -0.25
@ 2.67
Best Available Price · Betano
Line Edge
0.14
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.19
Price Advantage
+21.9%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.97 / 1.59 -0.25 2.49 / 1.80 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.79 / 1.70 -0.25 2.51 / 1.88 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.97 / 1.58 -0.25 2.54 / 1.80 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.70 / 1.65 -0.25 2.67 / 1.75 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.59 / 1.80 -0.25 2.59 / 1.80 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.11
xG 1.36 / 1.24 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.51
St. Kitts and Nevis @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.19
St. Kitts and Nevis @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.51 vs 2.19
Market price is 14.6% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 10.00 6.75
-1.75 7.60 4.70
-1.50 5.80 3.72
-1.25 5.35 3.34
-1.00 4.95 2.97
-0.75 3.50 2.35
-0.25 2.54 1.80
0 2.23 1.59
+0.25 1.83 1.46
+0.75 1.47 1.22
+1.00 1.30 1.11
+1.25 1.24 1.09
+1.50 1.20 1.07
+1.75 1.12 1.03

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.59 1.80
0 2.25 1.55
+0.25 1.87 1.42

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.67 1.75
+0.25 2.00 1.44

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.60 4.70
-1.50 5.80 3.72
-1.25 5.35 3.34
-1.00 4.95 2.97
-0.75 3.50 2.35
-0.25 2.49 1.80
0 2.23 1.59
+0.25 1.83 1.43
+0.75 1.47 1.22
+1.00 1.30 1.11
+1.25 1.24 1.09
+1.50 1.20 1.07
+1.75 1.12 1.03

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.80 2.09
-0.25 2.51 1.88
0 2.22 1.62
+0.25 1.91 1.48
+0.50 1.70 1.39
Primary Bets
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