Sharjah FC vs Al-Jazira Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Sharjah FC
Final Score
0 – 0
(HT 0-0)
Al-Jazira
Kick-off 15:45 Stadium Sharjah Stadium

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Sharjah FC opened at -0.25 against Al-Jazira in the League Cup. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 5 valid books, with 60% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is +0.25.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.05
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.27 / 1.33
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Sharjah FC -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 4 / 5 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.30
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.30 AH points more toward Al-Jazira than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Al-Jazira +0.25
@ 1.93
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.30
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.69
Price Advantage
+14.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 5 valid books · 60% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
10:40
Opening
-0.25
15:20
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP +0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
+0.25
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.78 / 1.66 -0.25 2.52 / 1.79 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.50 3.05 / 1.93 -0.25 2.52 / 1.93 — +0.25
Bet365 0 1.95 / 1.85 0 1.95 / 1.85 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.79 / 1.67 -0.25 2.79 / 1.67 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.32 / 1.52 -0.25 2.32 / 1.52 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.50 3.20
-1.00 5.70 2.59
-0.75 3.95 2.14
-0.25 2.79 1.67
0 2.47 1.45
+0.25 2.00 1.34
+0.75 1.59 1.17
+1.00 1.39 1.08
+1.50 1.26 1.05

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.95 1.85

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.32 1.52
0 2.20 1.34
+0.25 1.84 1.30

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.75 3.68
-1.00 4.95 2.97
-0.75 3.50 2.35
-0.25 2.52 1.79
0 2.21 1.56
+0.25 1.83 1.41
+0.75 1.47 1.22
+1.00 1.30 1.11
+1.50 1.20 1.07

Pinnacle Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.85 2.17
-0.25 2.52 1.93
0 2.21 1.65
+0.25 1.88 1.50
+0.50 1.68 1.40
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
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