Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Portuguesa FC
Oct 10, 2026 - 21:00
1.19 1.41
Deportivo La Guaira
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Portuguesa FC opened at 0 against Deportivo La Guaira in the Primera División. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.20
Portuguesa FC +0.20

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Portuguesa FC 0
Model–Market Gap
0.20
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.20 AH points more toward Deportivo La Guaira than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Deportivo La Guaira 0
@ 2.02
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.20
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.76
Price Advantage
+14.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.71 / 1.96 0 1.71 / 1.96 — 0
Bet365 0 1.78 / 2.02 0 1.78 / 2.02 — 0
1xBet 0 1.71 / 1.96 0 1.71 / 1.96 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.73 / 1.96 0 1.73 / 1.96 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.20
xG 1.19 / 1.41 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.71
Portuguesa FC @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.32
Portuguesa FC @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.71 vs 2.32
Market price is 26.3% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.69 8.20
-1.50 5.05 6.10
-1.25 4.60 5.64
-1.00 4.10 5.10
-0.75 2.88 3.34
-0.25 2.02 2.33
0 1.71 1.96
+0.25 1.48 1.67
+0.75 1.24 1.32
+1.00 1.10 1.16
+1.25 1.08 1.13
+1.50 1.06 1.10
+1.75 1.02 1.05

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.25 6.25
-1.25 4.65 5.75
-1.00 4.15 5.25
-0.75 3.00 3.45
-0.50 2.42 2.75
-0.25 2.10 2.38
0 1.78 2.02
+0.25 1.55 1.70
+0.50 1.42 1.52
+0.75 1.30 1.38
+1.00 1.16 1.22
+1.25 1.14 1.18
+1.50 1.12 1.16

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.73 1.96

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.70 8.20
-1.50 5.05 6.10
-1.25 4.60 5.65
-1.00 4.10 5.10
-0.75 2.88 3.34
-0.25 2.00 2.33
0 1.71 1.96
+0.25 1.48 1.65
+0.75 1.24 1.32
+1.00 1.10 1.16
+1.25 1.08 1.13
+1.50 1.06 1.10
+1.75 1.02 1.05
Primary Bets
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