Everton de Vina vs Universidad de Chile Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Everton de Vina
Sep 24, 2026 - 23:30 ABD
1.21 1.39
Universidad de Chile
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
-0.25
PRE1 consensus
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
6 / 6 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Everton de Vina opened at -0.25 against Universidad de Chile in the Copa Chile. The current market consensus is -0.25, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
Everton de Vina +0.16

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Everton de Vina -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.41
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.41 AH points more toward Universidad de Chile than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Universidad de Chile +0.25
@ 1.88
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.41
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.60
Price Advantage
+17.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.49 / 1.84 -0.25 2.55 / 1.81 -0.25 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.56 / 1.90 -0.25 2.60 / 1.88 -0.25 0
Bet365 -0.25 2.50 / 1.95 -0.25 2.60 / 1.88 -0.25 0
1xBet -0.25 2.52 / 1.88 -0.25 2.58 / 1.85 -0.25 0
Betano -0.25 2.57 / 1.91 -0.25 2.67 / 1.83 -0.25 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.53 / 1.88 -0.25 2.62 / 1.82 -0.25 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
xG 1.21 / 1.39 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Closing consensus
Market Odds
2.60
Everton de Vina @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.66
Everton de Vina @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.60 vs 2.66
Market price is 2.3% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.20 5.00
-1.50 6.20 3.90
-1.25 5.76 3.52
-1.00 5.30 3.08
-0.75 3.61 2.44
-0.25 2.58 1.85
0 2.25 1.58
+0.25 1.86 1.43
+0.75 1.47 1.22
+1.00 1.28 1.09
+1.25 1.23 1.08
+1.50 1.18 1.06
+1.75 1.10 1.02

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.25 3.80
-1.25 5.75 3.45
-1.00 5.25 3.10
-0.75 3.55 2.42
-0.50 2.85 2.10
-0.25 2.60 1.88
0 2.25 1.62
+0.25 1.92 1.48
+0.50 1.70 1.40
+0.75 1.52 1.27
+1.00 1.35 1.16
+1.25 1.30 1.14
+1.50 1.25 1.12

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.62 1.82
0 2.25 1.55
+0.25 1.85 1.41

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.80 2.07
-0.25 2.67 1.83
+0.25 1.93 1.45
+0.50 1.72 1.42

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.20 5.00
-1.50 6.20 3.90
-1.25 5.75 3.50
-1.00 5.30 3.08
-0.75 3.58 2.41
-0.25 2.55 1.81
0 2.25 1.58
+0.25 1.82 1.41
+0.75 1.45 1.21
+1.00 1.28 1.09
+1.25 1.22 1.07
+1.50 1.18 1.06
+1.75 1.10 1.02

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.94 2.12
-0.25 2.60 1.88
0 2.27 1.60
+0.25 1.91 1.45
+0.50 1.68 1.36
Primary Bets
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