Turku PS vs FF Jaro Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Turku PS
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
1.99 1.76
FF Jaro
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
6 / 6 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Turku PS opened at -0.25 against FF Jaro in the Veikkausliiga. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.21
Turku PS -0.21

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Turku PS -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.04
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.04 AH points more toward FF Jaro than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
FF Jaro +0.25
@ 2.96
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.04
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.97
Price Advantage
+50.3%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.73 / 2.76 -0.25 1.73 / 2.76 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.79 / 3.04 -0.25 1.85 / 2.96 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.78 / 3.00 -0.25 1.80 / 2.85 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.77 / 2.76 -0.25 1.77 / 2.76 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.80 / 2.82 -0.25 1.80 / 2.82 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.74 / 2.82 -0.25 1.74 / 2.82 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.21
xG 1.99 / 1.76 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.85
Turku PS @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.03
Turku PS @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.85 vs 2.03
Market price is 8.9% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.82 7.30
-1.25 3.34 6.75
-1.00 2.97 6.25
-0.75 2.29 4.08
-0.25 1.77 2.76
0 1.51 2.43
+0.25 1.36 1.96
+0.75 1.16 1.50
+1.00 1.06 1.30
+1.25 1.04 1.24
+1.50 1.03 1.19

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.25 3.45 6.80
-1.00 3.10 6.25
-0.75 2.38 4.15
-0.50 2.08 3.30
-0.25 1.80 2.85
0 1.52 2.42
+0.25 1.40 2.00
+0.50 1.32 1.72
+0.75 1.22 1.55
+1.00 1.12 1.35
+1.25 1.10 1.30

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.74 2.82
0 1.49 2.40
+0.25 1.36 1.93

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.80 2.82
+0.25 1.42 1.98

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.82 7.30
-1.25 3.34 6.75
-1.00 2.97 6.25
-0.75 2.29 4.10
-0.25 1.73 2.76
0 1.51 2.43
+0.25 1.36 1.92
+0.75 1.16 1.50
+1.00 1.06 1.30
+1.25 1.04 1.24
+1.50 1.03 1.19

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.48 4.36
-0.50 2.12 3.37
-0.25 1.85 2.96
0 1.57 2.53
+0.25 1.43 2.04
+0.50 1.34 1.78
+0.75 1.23 1.58
Primary Bets
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