SJK vs Lahti Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

SJK
Final Score
1 – 0
(HT 1-0)
Lahti
Kick-off 15:00 Stadium OmaSP Stadion

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

SJK opened at 0 against Lahti in the Veikkausliiga. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 7 valid books, with 71% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.42
SJK -0.42

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

xG (pre-match) 2.10 / 1.65
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
SJK 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 7 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.42
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.42 AH points more toward SJK than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
SJK 0
@ 1.94
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.42
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.63
Price Advantage
+19.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 7 valid books · 71% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
03:00
Opening
0
12:06
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
SBO SHARP BOOK +0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 3 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.87 / 1.86 0 1.86 / 1.87 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.93 / 1.92 0 1.94 / 1.96 — 0
SBO SHARP BOOK +0.25 1.72 / 1.65 +0.25 1.64 / 1.66 — 0
Bet365 0 1.90 / 1.90 0 1.90 / 1.90 — 0
1xBet 0 1.87 / 1.86 0 1.86 / 1.87 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.18 / 2.20 -0.25 2.18 / 2.20 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.83 / 1.84 0 1.83 / 1.84 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 10.50 9.40
-2.00 9.30 8.40
-1.75 6.30 6.80
-1.50 4.85 4.85
-1.25 4.39 4.44
-1.00 3.96 4.00
-0.75 2.88 2.88
-0.25 2.17 2.12
0 1.86 1.87
+0.25 1.60 1.64
+0.75 1.32 1.32
+1.00 1.17 1.17
+1.25 1.14 1.14
+1.50 1.11 1.11
+1.75 1.06 1.06
+2.00 1.03 1.02
+2.50 1.02 1.04

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.00 5.90
-1.50 5.50 4.40
-1.25 4.80 4.00
-1.00 4.40 3.55
-0.75 3.30 2.75
-0.50 2.68 2.35
-0.25 2.35 2.08
0 1.90 1.90
+0.25 1.72 1.58
+0.50 1.58 1.45
+0.75 1.42 1.32
+1.00 1.27 1.20
+1.25 1.23 1.18
+1.50 1.20 1.15
+1.75 1.13 1.10

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.45 2.47
-0.25 2.14 2.16
0 1.83 1.84
+0.25 1.59 1.61
+0.50 1.46 1.47

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.50 2.47
-0.25 2.18 2.20
+0.25 1.65 1.67
+0.50 1.53 1.52

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.20 9.50
-1.75 6.30 6.35
-1.50 4.85 4.85
-1.25 4.40 4.45
-1.00 3.96 4.00
-0.75 2.88 2.88
-0.25 2.12 2.12
0 1.86 1.87
+0.25 1.60 1.60
+0.75 1.32 1.32
+1.00 1.17 1.17
+1.25 1.14 1.14
+1.50 1.11 1.11
+1.75 1.06 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.44 4.52
-0.75 3.22 3.27
-0.50 2.65 2.68
-0.25 2.29 2.32
0 1.94 1.96
+0.25 1.67 1.68
+0.50 1.52 1.53
+0.75 1.37 1.38
+1.00 1.23 1.23

SBO Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.25 2.28
+0.25 1.64 1.66
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
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