Persikad Depok FC vs Semen Padang Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Persikad Depok FC
Oct 11, 2026 - 12:00 2H
1 1.33
1 1.27
Semen Padang
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 3 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Persikad Depok FC opened at -0.25 against Semen Padang in the Liga 2. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.05
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Persikad Depok FC -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.20
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 3 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.20 AH points more toward Semen Padang than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Persikad Depok FC -0.25
@ 2.78
Best Available Price · Marathonbet
Line Edge
0.20
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.27
Price Advantage
+22.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.46 / 1.82 -0.25 2.78 / 1.72 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.70 / 1.81 -0.25 2.70 / 1.81 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.49 / 1.82 -0.25 2.78 / 1.72 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.05
xG 1.33 / 1.27 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.70
Persikad Depok FC @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.27
Persikad Depok FC @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.70 vs 2.27
Market price is 18.9% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.60 4.84
-1.50 7.40 3.76
-1.25 6.85 3.34
-1.00 6.30 2.97
-0.75 4.15 2.30
-0.25 2.78 1.72
0 2.38 1.46
+0.25 1.91 1.34
+0.75 1.52 1.16
+1.00 1.32 1.06
+1.25 1.24 1.04
+1.50 1.19 1.03

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.60 4.85
-1.50 7.40 3.76
-1.25 6.85 3.34
-1.00 6.30 2.97
-0.75 4.15 2.28
-0.25 2.78 1.72
0 2.38 1.46
+0.25 1.91 1.34
+0.75 1.50 1.16
+1.00 1.32 1.06
+1.25 1.24 1.04
+1.50 1.19 1.03

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 3.05 2.05
-0.25 2.70 1.81
0 2.35 1.53
+0.25 1.93 1.40
+0.50 1.69 1.31
Primary Bets
More