Lens vs Sporting CP Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Lens
Oct 13, 2026 - 16:45
1.59 1.76
Sporting CP
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Lens opened at 0 against Sporting CP in the UEFA Champions League. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
Lens +0.16

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Lens 0
Model–Market Gap
0.16
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.16 AH points more toward Sporting CP than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Sporting CP 0
@ 1.98
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.16
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.83
Price Advantage
+8.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.90 / 1.92 0 1.90 / 1.92 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.92 / 1.93 0 1.91 / 1.94 — 0
Bet365 0 1.88 / 1.98 0 1.88 / 1.98 — 0
1xBet 0 1.96 / 1.98 0 1.96 / 1.98 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.62 / 1.78 +0.25 1.62 / 1.78 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.81 / 1.86 0 1.81 / 1.86 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
xG 1.59 / 1.76 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.91
Lens @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.20
Lens @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.91 vs 2.20
Market price is 13.2% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.70 8.90
-2.00 8.00 8.30
-1.75 5.72 5.77
-1.50 4.50 4.60
-1.25 4.21 4.27
-1.00 3.80 3.82
-0.75 2.85 2.92
-0.25 2.26 2.18
0 1.96 1.98
+0.25 1.64 1.75
+0.75 1.35 1.38
+1.00 1.22 1.22
+1.25 1.16 1.18
+1.50 1.14 1.15
+1.75 1.07 1.09
+2.00 1.02 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.90 6.25
-1.50 4.50 4.80
-1.25 4.15 4.40
-1.00 3.70 3.90
-0.75 2.85 3.00
-0.50 2.38 2.50
-0.25 2.10 2.25
0 1.88 1.98
+0.25 1.62 1.70
+0.50 1.50 1.55
+0.75 1.38 1.40
+1.00 1.24 1.26
+1.25 1.20 1.22
+1.50 1.18 1.19
+1.75 1.12 1.13

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.90 4.05
-0.75 2.86 2.97
-0.50 2.39 2.45
-0.25 2.10 2.16
0 1.81 1.86
+0.25 1.59 1.63
+0.50 1.47 1.49
+0.75 1.33 1.35
+1.00 1.19 1.20

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.80 3.30
-0.50 2.37 2.70
-0.25 2.07 2.37
+0.25 1.62 1.78
+0.50 1.50 1.62
+0.75 1.36 1.47

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.70 8.90
-2.00 8.00 8.30
-1.75 5.70 5.80
-1.50 4.50 4.60
-1.25 4.20 4.30
-1.00 3.80 3.82
-0.75 2.85 2.94
-0.25 2.14 2.18
0 1.90 1.92
+0.25 1.64 1.66
+0.75 1.36 1.38
+1.00 1.22 1.22
+1.25 1.17 1.18
+1.50 1.14 1.15
+1.75 1.08 1.08
+2.00 1.02 1.02

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.92 4.03
-0.75 2.98 3.04
-0.50 2.50 2.54
-0.25 2.20 2.24
0 1.91 1.94
+0.25 1.66 1.68
+0.50 1.53 1.54
+0.75 1.38 1.40
+1.00 1.25 1.26
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