Real Betis vs FC Porto Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Real Betis
Oct 14, 2026 - 19:00
1.68 1.67
FC Porto
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
6 / 6 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Real Betis opened at -0.25 against FC Porto in the UEFA Champions League. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.01
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Real Betis -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.24
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.24 AH points more toward FC Porto than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
FC Porto +0.25
@ 2.80
Best Available Price · Betano
Line Edge
0.24
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.78
Price Advantage
+57.3%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.87 / 2.65 -0.25 1.87 / 2.65 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.94 / 2.67 -0.25 1.94 / 2.67 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.90 / 2.68 -0.25 1.90 / 2.68 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.97 / 2.65 -0.25 1.97 / 2.65 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.88 / 2.80 -0.25 1.88 / 2.80 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.83 / 2.59 -0.25 1.83 / 2.59 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.01
xG 1.68 / 1.67 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.94
Real Betis @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.28
Real Betis @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.94 vs 2.28
Market price is 14.9% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.17 8.70
-1.50 4.00 6.55
-1.25 3.58 6.06
-1.00 3.22 5.60
-0.75 2.50 3.80
-0.25 1.97 2.65
0 1.67 2.40
+0.25 1.44 1.97
+0.75 1.22 1.48
+1.00 1.11 1.30
+1.25 1.08 1.25
+1.50 1.06 1.19
+1.75 1.02 1.11

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.90 6.40
-1.25 3.55 5.90
-1.00 3.10 5.50
-0.75 2.42 3.70
-0.50 2.10 3.00
-0.25 1.90 2.68
0 1.60 2.30
+0.25 1.45 1.95
+0.50 1.38 1.70
+0.75 1.26 1.52
+1.00 1.15 1.35
+1.25 1.13 1.27
+1.50 1.12 1.24

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.47 3.70
-0.50 2.08 2.95
-0.25 1.83 2.59
0 1.56 2.22
+0.25 1.42 1.84
+0.50 1.33 1.64
+0.75 1.22 1.46

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.20 3.10
-0.25 1.88 2.80
+0.25 1.47 1.98
+0.50 1.39 1.70

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.15 8.70
-1.50 4.00 6.55
-1.25 3.56 6.10
-1.00 3.22 5.60
-0.75 2.50 3.82
-0.25 1.87 2.65
0 1.62 2.33
+0.25 1.44 1.87
+0.75 1.23 1.48
+1.00 1.11 1.30
+1.25 1.08 1.24
+1.50 1.06 1.19
+1.75 1.02 1.11

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.60 3.79
-0.50 2.21 3.03
-0.25 1.94 2.67
0 1.64 2.28
+0.25 1.49 1.91
+0.50 1.38 1.68
+0.75 1.27 1.51
Primary Bets
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