Roeselare Daisel vs Patro Eisden Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Roeselare Daisel
Sep 26, 2026 - 18:00
1.37 1.23
Patro Eisden
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Roeselare Daisel opened at -0.25 against Patro Eisden in the Cup. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.12
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Roeselare Daisel -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.13
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.13 AH points more toward Patro Eisden than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Roeselare Daisel -0.25
@ 2.73
Best Available Price · BetVictor
Line Edge
0.13
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.16
Price Advantage
+26.4%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.62 / 1.73 -0.25 2.62 / 1.73 — 0
Bet365 -0.50 3.00 / 1.98 -0.50 3.00 / 1.98 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.68 / 1.73 -0.25 2.68 / 1.73 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.73 / 1.73 -0.25 2.73 / 1.73 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.12
xG 1.37 / 1.23 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.62
Roeselare Daisel @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.16
Roeselare Daisel @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.62 vs 2.16
Market price is 21.3% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 11.00 5.95
-1.75 7.55 4.30
-1.50 5.90 3.42
-1.25 5.50 3.08
-1.00 5.10 2.74
-0.75 3.58 2.21
-0.25 2.68 1.73
0 2.35 1.53
+0.25 1.91 1.42
+0.75 1.53 1.21
+1.00 1.35 1.10
+1.25 1.28 1.08
+1.50 1.23 1.07
+1.75 1.15 1.03

Bet365 Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.40 3.45
-1.25 5.90 3.00
-1.00 5.50 2.68
-0.75 3.70 2.25
-0.50 3.00 1.98
-0.25 2.68 1.75
0 2.38 1.55
+0.25 2.05 1.45
+0.50 1.82 1.38
+0.75 1.62 1.26
+1.00 1.45 1.15
+1.25 1.38 1.13
+1.50 1.30 1.12

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.73 1.73
0 2.36 1.50
+0.25 1.95 1.38

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.60 4.30
-1.50 5.90 3.42
-1.25 5.50 3.08
-1.00 5.10 2.74
-0.75 3.58 2.21
-0.25 2.62 1.73
0 2.35 1.53
+0.25 1.91 1.39
+0.75 1.53 1.21
+1.00 1.35 1.10
+1.25 1.28 1.08
+1.50 1.23 1.07
+1.75 1.15 1.03
Primary Bets
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