Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Sportivo Trinidense
Oct 18, 2026 - 22:20
1.33 1.36
Libertad Asuncion
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Sportivo Trinidense opened at 0 against Libertad Asuncion in the Division Profesional - Clausura. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.03
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Sportivo Trinidense 0
Model–Market Gap
0.03
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.03 AH points more toward Libertad Asuncion than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Sportivo Trinidense 0
@ 2.09
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.03
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.04
Price Advantage
+2.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.98 / 1.70 0 1.98 / 1.70 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.09 / 1.72 0 2.09 / 1.72 — 0
Bet365 0 2.00 / 1.80 0 2.00 / 1.80 — 0
1xBet 0 2.02 / 1.74 0 2.02 / 1.74 — 0
Betano -0.50 2.65 / 2.45 -0.50 2.70 / 2.40 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.03
xG 1.33 / 1.36 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.09
Sportivo Trinidense @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.04
Sportivo Trinidense @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.09 vs 2.04
Market price is 2.5% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.95 9.30
-1.75 7.80 6.20
-1.50 6.32 4.98
-1.25 5.37 4.32
-1.00 5.28 4.02
-0.75 3.32 2.79
-0.25 2.35 2.05
0 2.02 1.74
+0.25 1.72 1.52
+0.75 1.37 1.26
+1.00 1.20 1.12
+1.25 1.15 1.09
+1.50 1.13 1.08
+1.75 1.06 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.75 5.00
-1.25 5.25 4.40
-1.00 4.50 4.00
-0.75 3.30 3.00
-0.50 2.68 2.42
-0.25 2.35 2.10
0 2.00 1.80
+0.25 1.70 1.58
+0.50 1.52 1.45
+0.75 1.38 1.32
+1.00 1.23 1.19
+1.25 1.20 1.16
+1.50 1.17 1.14

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.70 2.40
+0.50 1.55 1.45

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.80 6.20
-1.50 5.80 4.70
-1.25 5.35 4.30
-1.00 4.85 3.82
-0.75 3.28 2.74
-0.25 2.30 1.98
0 1.98 1.70
+0.25 1.67 1.49
+0.75 1.35 1.25
+1.00 1.19 1.11
+1.25 1.15 1.09
+1.50 1.12 1.07
+1.75 1.06 1.02

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.62 2.94
-0.50 2.89 2.42
-0.25 2.50 2.08
0 2.09 1.72
+0.25 1.75 1.52
+0.50 1.56 1.39
+0.75 1.39 1.27
Primary Bets
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