2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

2 de Mayo
Oct 12, 2026 - 20:00
1.61 1.46
Sportivo Ameliano
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

2 de Mayo opened at 0 against Sportivo Ameliano in the Division Profesional - Clausura. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.14
2 de Mayo -0.14

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
2 de Mayo 0
Model–Market Gap
0.14
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.14 AH points more toward 2 de Mayo than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
2 de Mayo 0
@ 1.88
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.14
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.84
Price Advantage
+2.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.79 / 1.87 0 1.79 / 1.87 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.88 / 1.92 0 1.88 / 1.92 — 0
Bet365 0 1.88 / 1.92 0 1.88 / 1.92 — 0
1xBet 0 1.83 / 1.91 0 1.83 / 1.91 — 0
Betano -0.50 2.62 / 2.65 -0.50 2.62 / 2.65 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.14
xG 1.61 / 1.46 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.88
2 de Mayo @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.84
2 de Mayo @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.88 vs 1.84
Market price is 2.2% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.60 8.10
-1.50 5.60 5.95
-1.25 5.13 5.42
-1.00 4.61 4.96
-0.75 3.13 3.31
-0.25 2.21 2.25
0 1.83 1.91
+0.25 1.56 1.62
+0.75 1.26 1.30
+1.00 1.12 1.14
+1.25 1.09 1.11
+1.50 1.07 1.08
+1.75 1.02 1.03

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.75 5.90
-1.25 5.25 5.50
-1.00 4.50 4.65
-0.75 3.30 3.30
-0.50 2.60 2.68
-0.25 2.25 2.30
0 1.88 1.92
+0.25 1.60 1.62
+0.50 1.45 1.48
+0.75 1.32 1.32
+1.00 1.18 1.19
+1.25 1.15 1.16
+1.50 1.13 1.14

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.62 2.65
+0.50 1.47 1.47

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.60 8.10
-1.50 5.60 5.95
-1.25 5.10 5.40
-1.00 4.55 4.85
-0.75 3.08 3.28
-0.25 2.14 2.21
0 1.79 1.87
+0.25 1.53 1.57
+0.75 1.25 1.28
+1.00 1.11 1.13
+1.25 1.09 1.10
+1.50 1.07 1.08
+1.75 1.02 1.03

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.84 4.95
-0.75 3.36 3.42
-0.50 2.70 2.74
-0.25 2.30 2.33
0 1.88 1.92
+0.25 1.59 1.61
+0.50 1.44 1.45
+0.75 1.30 1.31
+1.00 1.17 1.17
Primary Bets
More