Tractor Sazi vs Al Shamal Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Tractor Sazi
Oct 12, 2026 - 16:00
1.59 1.35
Al Shamal
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Tractor Sazi opened at 0 against Al Shamal in the AFC Champions League Elite. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.22
Tractor Sazi -0.22

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Tractor Sazi 0
Model–Market Gap
0.22
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.22 AH points more toward Tractor Sazi than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Tractor Sazi 0
@ 1.90
Best Available Price · 1xBet
Line Edge
0.22
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.75
Price Advantage
+8.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.86 / 1.87 0 1.86 / 1.87 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.83 / 1.98 0 1.83 / 1.98 — 0
1xBet 0 1.77 / 1.89 0 1.90 / 1.92 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.80 / 1.87 0 1.80 / 1.87 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.22
xG 1.59 / 1.35 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.83
Tractor Sazi @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.75
Tractor Sazi @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.83 vs 1.75
Market price is 4.6% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.70 10.00
-1.75 6.60 7.28
-1.50 5.10 5.15
-1.25 4.65 4.74
-1.00 4.20 4.30
-0.75 2.98 2.98
-0.25 2.23 2.15
0 1.90 1.92
+0.25 1.58 1.67
+0.75 1.30 1.30
+1.00 1.15 1.15
+1.25 1.12 1.12
+1.50 1.10 1.10
+1.75 1.05 1.05

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.80 3.90
-0.75 3.05 3.25
-0.50 2.48 2.59
-0.25 2.14 2.23
0 1.80 1.87
+0.25 1.56 1.61
+0.50 1.42 1.46
+0.75 1.28 1.31
+1.00 1.20 1.21

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 8.80 8.90
-1.75 6.60 6.75
-1.50 5.10 5.15
-1.25 4.65 4.75
-1.00 4.20 4.30
-0.75 2.98 2.98
-0.25 2.13 2.15
0 1.86 1.87
+0.25 1.58 1.59
+0.75 1.30 1.30
+1.00 1.15 1.15
+1.25 1.12 1.12
+1.50 1.10 1.10
+1.75 1.04 1.05

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.17 4.75
-0.75 3.01 3.31
-0.50 2.47 2.67
-0.25 2.14 2.32
0 1.83 1.98
+0.25 1.58 1.68
+0.50 1.46 1.52
+0.75 1.31 1.36
+1.00 1.17 1.21
Primary Bets
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