Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Latina Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Sep 02, 2026 - 16:00 CANC
1.29 1.31
Latina
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
0
PRE1 consensus
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 opened at 0 against Latina in the Coppa Italia Serie C. The current market consensus is 0, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.02
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 0
Model–Market Gap
0.02
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.02 AH points more toward Latina than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Latina 0
@ 2.01
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.02
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.97
Price Advantage
+2.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.75 / 1.93 0 1.75 / 1.93 0 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.79 / 2.01 0 1.79 / 2.01 0 0
Bet365 0 1.80 / 2.00 0 1.80 / 2.00 0 0
1xBet 0 1.75 / 1.93 0 1.75 / 1.93 0 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.02
xG 1.29 / 1.31 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Closing consensus
Market Odds
1.79
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.03
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.79 vs 2.03
Market price is 11.8% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 10.00 10.00
-1.50 4.95 5.70
-1.25 4.55 4.49
-1.00 4.10 4.80
-0.75 2.92 3.28
-0.25 2.09 2.28
0 1.75 1.93
+0.25 1.50 1.64
+0.75 1.25 1.31
+1.00 1.12 1.16
+1.25 1.13 1.13
+1.50 1.08 1.11

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.00 5.90
-1.25 4.50 5.50
-1.00 4.00 4.65
-0.75 3.00 3.30
-0.50 2.38 2.68
-0.25 2.10 2.35
0 1.80 2.00
+0.25 1.58 1.70
+0.50 1.45 1.55
+0.75 1.32 1.38
+1.00 1.18 1.23
+1.25 1.15 1.19
+1.50 1.13 1.17

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.95 5.70
-1.00 4.10 4.80
-0.75 2.92 3.28
-0.25 2.06 2.28
0 1.75 1.93
+0.25 1.50 1.62
+0.75 1.25 1.31
+1.00 1.12 1.16
+1.50 1.08 1.11

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.03 3.43
-0.50 2.48 2.76
-0.25 2.15 2.40
0 1.79 2.01
+0.25 1.54 1.67
+0.50 1.40 1.49
+0.75 1.28 1.34
Primary Bets
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