Zakho vs Newroz Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Zakho
Final Score
0 – 1
(HT 0-1)
Newroz
Kick-off 15:00

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Zakho opened at 0 against Newroz in the Iraqi League. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.07
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.34 / 1.26
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Zakho 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 4 / 4 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.07
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.07 AH points more toward Zakho than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

No positive price advantage at the valid market line.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
04:42
Opening
0
12:01
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.88 / 2.46 0 1.79 / 1.87 — +0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.83 / 1.88 0 1.78 / 1.93 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.89 / 2.47 0 1.79 / 1.87 — +0.25
BetVictor 0 1.80 / 1.87 0 1.78 / 1.89 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.65 5.95
-1.25 5.20 4.90
-1.00 4.75 5.05
-0.75 3.29 3.42
-0.25 2.23 2.31
0 1.79 1.87
+0.25 1.50 1.55
+0.75 1.23 1.25
+1.00 1.10 1.12
+1.25 1.14 1.10
+1.50 1.07 1.08

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.78 1.89

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.65 5.95
-1.00 4.75 5.05
-0.75 3.28 3.42
-0.25 2.21 2.30
0 1.79 1.87
+0.25 1.49 1.53
+0.75 1.23 1.25
+1.00 1.10 1.12
+1.50 1.07 1.08

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.29 3.60
-0.50 2.66 2.87
-0.25 2.24 2.43
0 1.78 1.93
+0.25 1.47 1.55
+0.50 1.33 1.38
+0.75 1.21 1.25
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing data was not captured.

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Primary Bets
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