Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Final Score
0 – 0
(HT 0-0)
Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
Kick-off 11:30

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Hapoel Ironi Arraba opened at 0 against Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt in the Liga Alef. The current market consensus is -0.25. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward Hapoel Ironi Arraba from the opening line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.05
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.27 / 1.33
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Hapoel Ironi Arraba -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 3 / 4 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.30
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.30 AH points more toward Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt +0.25
@ 1.85
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.30
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.69
Price Advantage
+9.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
17:28
Opening
0
10:21
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.81 / 1.85 -0.25 2.52 / 1.81 — -0.25
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.56 / 1.84 -0.25 2.61 / 1.85 — 0
Bet365 0 1.92 / 1.88 0 1.98 / 1.82 — 0
1xBet 0 1.81 / 1.85 -0.25 2.55 / 1.81 — -0.25
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.50 7.50
-2.00 8.70 6.80
-1.50 5.95 3.80
-1.25 4.20 3.42
-1.00 5.15 3.05
-0.75 3.58 2.38
-0.25 2.55 1.81
0 2.21 1.56
+0.25 1.81 1.43
+0.75 1.46 1.21
+1.00 1.28 1.10
+1.25 1.23 1.15
+1.50 1.19 1.07

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.98 1.82

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.50 7.50
-2.00 9.30 6.80
-1.50 5.95 3.80
-1.25 4.20 3.42
-1.00 5.15 3.05
-0.75 3.58 2.38
-0.25 2.52 1.81
0 2.21 1.56
+0.25 1.81 1.41
+0.75 1.46 1.21
+1.00 1.28 1.10
+1.25 1.23 1.15
+1.50 1.19 1.07

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.95 2.09
-0.25 2.61 1.85
0 2.27 1.57
+0.25 1.89 1.42
+0.50 1.67 1.33
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

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