Real Oruro vs Real Tomayapo Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Real Oruro
Oct 06, 2026 - 19:00
1.45 1.15
Real Tomayapo
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Real Oruro opened at -0.25 against Real Tomayapo in the Copa de la División Profesional. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.27
Real Oruro -0.27

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Real Oruro -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.02
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.02 AH points more toward Real Oruro than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Real Tomayapo +0.25
@ 3.00
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.02
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.02
Price Advantage
+48.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.73 / 2.59 -0.25 1.69 / 2.70 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.72 / 3.00 -0.25 1.72 / 3.00 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.74 / 2.59 -0.25 1.71 / 2.70 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.51 / 2.34 0 1.51 / 2.34 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.27
xG 1.45 / 1.15 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.69
Real Oruro @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.98
Real Oruro @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.69 vs 1.98
Market price is 14.6% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 5.80 10.00
-2.00 5.15 9.30
-1.50 3.14 5.95
-1.00 2.56 5.25
-0.75 2.15 3.80
-0.25 1.71 2.70
0 1.48 2.39
+0.25 1.36 1.97
+0.75 1.19 1.56
+1.00 1.09 1.40
+1.50 1.07 1.27
+2.00 1.02 1.10

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.30 6.60
-1.25 3.00 6.00
-1.00 2.68 5.75
-0.75 2.25 4.15
-0.50 2.00 3.45
-0.25 1.72 3.00
0 1.48 2.60
+0.25 1.38 2.08
+0.50 1.30 1.80
+0.75 1.22 1.62
+1.00 1.14 1.45
+1.25 1.12 1.38
+1.50 1.11 1.32

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.51 2.34

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.14 5.95
-1.00 2.56 5.25
-0.75 2.15 3.80
-0.25 1.69 2.70
0 1.48 2.39
+0.25 1.36 1.95
+0.75 1.19 1.56
+1.00 1.09 1.40
+1.50 1.07 1.27
Primary Bets
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