Atletico Torque vs Penarol Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Atletico Torque
Sep 30, 2026 - 23:00
1.20 1.40
Penarol
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Atletico Torque opened at 0 against Penarol in the Primera División. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.18
Atletico Torque +0.18

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Atletico Torque 0
Model–Market Gap
0.18
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.18 AH points more toward Penarol than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Penarol 0
@ 1.90
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.18
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.77
Price Advantage
+7.3%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.89 / 1.77 0 1.96 / 1.71 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.75 / 1.92 0 2.04 / 1.78 — +0.25
Bet365 0 1.90 / 1.90 0 1.90 / 1.90 — 0
1xBet 0 1.89 / 1.77 0 1.96 / 1.71 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.65 / 1.65 +0.25 1.72 / 1.57 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.92 / 1.76 0 1.92 / 1.76 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.18
xG 1.20 / 1.40 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.04
Atletico Torque @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.29
Atletico Torque @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.04 vs 2.29
Market price is 10.9% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 10.00 9.20
-1.75 7.80 6.40
-1.50 5.90 4.85
-1.25 5.41 4.40
-1.00 4.90 3.92
-0.75 3.36 2.84
-0.25 2.32 2.01
0 1.96 1.71
+0.25 1.66 1.50
+0.75 1.33 1.25
+1.00 1.18 1.11
+1.25 1.14 1.09
+1.50 1.11 1.07
+1.75 1.05 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.50 5.50
-1.25 4.80 4.80
-1.00 4.25 4.25
-0.75 3.10 3.10
-0.50 2.50 2.50
-0.25 2.20 2.20
0 1.90 1.90
+0.25 1.65 1.65
+0.50 1.50 1.50
+0.75 1.35 1.35
+1.00 1.21 1.21
+1.25 1.18 1.18
+1.50 1.15 1.15

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.64 2.42
-0.25 2.29 2.10
0 1.92 1.76
+0.25 1.63 1.53
+0.50 1.48 1.41

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.67 2.40
-0.25 2.35 2.10
+0.25 1.72 1.57
+0.50 1.55 1.45

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.80 6.40
-1.50 5.90 4.85
-1.25 5.40 4.40
-1.00 4.90 3.92
-0.75 3.34 2.83
-0.25 2.30 2.00
0 1.96 1.71
+0.25 1.65 1.49
+0.75 1.33 1.24
+1.00 1.18 1.11
+1.25 1.14 1.09
+1.50 1.11 1.07
+1.75 1.05 1.02

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 5.22 4.11
-0.75 3.55 3.00
-0.50 2.82 2.46
-0.25 2.43 2.12
0 2.04 1.78
+0.25 1.71 1.55
+0.50 1.54 1.42
+0.75 1.38 1.29
+1.00 1.23 1.16
Primary Bets
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