Giugliano vs Foggia Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Giugliano
Oct 19, 2026 - 18:30
1.44 1.16
Foggia
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Giugliano opened at 0 against Foggia in the Serie C - Girone C. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.25
Giugliano -0.25

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Giugliano 0
Model–Market Gap
0.25
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.25 AH points more toward Giugliano than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Giugliano 0
@ 2.05
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.25
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.70
Price Advantage
+20.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.83 / 1.83 0 1.91 / 1.75 — 0
Bet365 0 2.05 / 1.75 0 2.05 / 1.75 — 0
1xBet 0 1.83 / 1.83 0 1.91 / 1.75 — 0
Betano -0.50 2.57 / 2.57 -0.50 2.57 / 2.57 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.25
xG 1.44 / 1.16 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.91
Giugliano @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.70
Giugliano @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.91 vs 1.70
Market price is 12.4% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.60 9.20
-1.75 7.30 6.98
-1.50 5.55 4.95
-1.25 5.10 4.50
-1.00 4.65 4.05
-0.75 3.20 2.88
-0.25 2.28 2.06
0 1.91 1.75
+0.25 1.62 1.52
+0.75 1.32 1.26
+1.00 1.17 1.12
+1.25 1.13 1.10
+1.50 1.11 1.08
+1.75 1.06 1.03

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.90 4.80
-1.25 5.50 4.25
-1.00 5.00 3.90
-0.75 3.45 2.85
-0.50 2.75 2.38
-0.25 2.38 2.08
0 2.05 1.75
+0.25 1.72 1.55
+0.50 1.55 1.42
+0.75 1.40 1.30
+1.00 1.24 1.17
+1.25 1.21 1.15
+1.50 1.18 1.13

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.57 2.57
+0.50 1.47 1.47

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.30 6.45
-1.50 5.55 4.95
-1.25 5.10 4.50
-1.00 4.65 4.05
-0.75 3.20 2.88
-0.25 2.26 2.06
0 1.91 1.75
+0.25 1.62 1.51
+0.75 1.32 1.26
+1.00 1.17 1.12
+1.25 1.13 1.10
+1.50 1.11 1.08
+1.75 1.05 1.03
Primary Bets
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