Cosenza vs Team Altamura Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Cosenza
Oct 18, 2026 - 12:30
1.44 1.16
Team Altamura
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Cosenza opened at -0.25 against Team Altamura in the Serie C - Girone C. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.25
Cosenza -0.25

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Cosenza -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.00
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Decision
LEAN
Team Altamura +0.25
@ 2.94
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.00
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.00
Price Advantage
+47.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.82 / 1.83 -0.25 1.77 / 2.74 — -0.25
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.81 / 2.94 -0.25 1.81 / 2.94 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 2.00 / 2.60 -0.25 1.85 / 2.60 — 0
1xBet 0 1.82 / 1.83 -0.25 1.79 / 2.74 — -0.25
Betano -0.50 2.57 / 2.62 -0.50 2.15 / 2.62 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.25
xG 1.44 / 1.16 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.81
Cosenza @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.00
Cosenza @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.81 vs 2.00
Market price is 9.5% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.40 8.50
-1.50 4.15 7.60
-1.25 3.70 7.09
-1.00 3.20 6.55
-0.75 2.42 4.15
-0.25 1.79 2.74
0 1.50 2.34
+0.25 1.35 1.87
+0.75 1.16 1.44
+1.00 1.05 1.26
+1.25 1.04 1.20
+1.50 1.03 1.16

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.50 6.80
-1.25 4.15 6.25
-1.00 3.70 5.75
-0.75 2.75 3.80
-0.50 2.30 3.00
-0.25 1.85 2.60
0 1.65 2.20
+0.25 1.48 1.95
+0.50 1.38 1.60
+0.75 1.25 1.42
+1.00 1.14 1.26
+1.25 1.12 1.22
+1.50 1.10 1.19

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.15 2.62
+0.50 1.45 1.65

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.40 8.50
-1.50 4.15 7.60
-1.25 3.70 7.10
-1.00 3.20 6.55
-0.75 2.42 4.15
-0.25 1.77 2.74
0 1.50 2.34
+0.25 1.35 1.85
+0.75 1.16 1.44
+1.00 1.05 1.26
+1.25 1.04 1.20
+1.50 1.03 1.16

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.07 3.36
-0.25 1.81 2.94
0 1.51 2.53
+0.25 1.38 2.03
+0.50 1.30 1.75
Primary Bets
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