Sorrento vs Casarano Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Sorrento
Oct 03, 2026 - 12:30
1.22 1.38
Casarano
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Sorrento opened at 0 against Casarano in the Serie C - Girone C. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.14
Sorrento +0.14

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Sorrento 0
Model–Market Gap
0.14
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.14 AH points more toward Casarano than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Casarano 0
@ 2.02
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.14
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.82
Price Advantage
+11.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.73 / 1.94 0 1.73 / 1.94 — 0
Bet365 0 1.78 / 2.02 0 1.78 / 2.02 — 0
1xBet 0 1.73 / 1.94 0 1.73 / 1.94 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.07 / 2.35 -0.25 2.07 / 2.35 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.14
xG 1.22 / 1.38 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.73
Sorrento @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.23
Sorrento @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.73 vs 2.23
Market price is 22.4% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.15 7.30
-1.50 4.75 5.55
-1.25 4.30 5.10
-1.00 3.88 4.65
-0.75 2.78 3.20
-0.25 2.02 2.26
0 1.73 1.94
+0.25 1.51 1.67
+0.75 1.26 1.34
+1.00 1.12 1.18
+1.25 1.10 1.15
+1.50 1.08 1.12
+1.75 1.03 1.06

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.00 5.90
-1.25 4.40 5.50
-1.00 4.00 4.80
-0.75 3.00 3.45
-0.50 2.42 2.75
-0.25 2.10 2.38
0 1.78 2.02
+0.25 1.55 1.70
+0.50 1.42 1.52
+0.75 1.30 1.38
+1.00 1.18 1.23
+1.25 1.15 1.20
+1.50 1.13 1.17

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.40 2.67
-0.25 2.07 2.35
+0.25 1.55 1.70
+0.50 1.44 1.53

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.15 7.30
-1.50 4.75 5.55
-1.25 4.30 5.10
-1.00 3.88 4.65
-0.75 2.78 3.20
-0.25 2.00 2.26
0 1.73 1.94
+0.25 1.51 1.65
+0.75 1.26 1.34
+1.00 1.12 1.18
+1.25 1.10 1.14
+1.50 1.08 1.12
+1.75 1.03 1.06
Primary Bets
More