Livorno vs Pescara Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Livorno
Oct 03, 2026 - 15:30
1.26 1.34
Pescara
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Livorno opened at 0 against Pescara in the Serie C - Girone B. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.07
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Livorno 0
Model–Market Gap
0.07
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.07 AH points more toward Pescara than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Pescara 0
@ 1.98
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.07
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.90
Price Advantage
+4.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.79 / 1.87 0 1.79 / 1.87 — 0
Bet365 0 1.82 / 1.98 0 1.82 / 1.98 — 0
1xBet 0 1.79 / 1.87 0 1.79 / 1.87 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.12 / 2.27 -0.25 2.12 / 2.27 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.07
xG 1.26 / 1.34 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.79
Livorno @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.11
Livorno @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.79 vs 2.11
Market price is 15.2% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.00 9.50
-1.75 6.05 6.73
-1.50 4.70 5.00
-1.25 4.30 4.60
-1.00 3.85 4.20
-0.75 2.83 2.98
-0.25 2.08 2.15
0 1.79 1.87
+0.25 1.56 1.63
+0.75 1.30 1.33
+1.00 1.16 1.18
+1.25 1.13 1.14
+1.50 1.10 1.12
+1.75 1.06 1.06

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.40 7.00
-1.50 4.80 5.50
-1.25 4.40 4.80
-1.00 3.90 4.40
-0.75 3.00 3.30
-0.50 2.42 2.60
-0.25 2.15 2.30
0 1.82 1.98
+0.25 1.60 1.68
+0.50 1.48 1.52
+0.75 1.32 1.38
+1.00 1.20 1.24
+1.25 1.18 1.20
+1.50 1.15 1.18
+1.75 1.10 1.12

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.42 2.57
-0.25 2.12 2.27
+0.25 1.60 1.67
+0.50 1.47 1.52

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.05 6.50
-1.50 4.70 5.00
-1.25 4.30 4.60
-1.00 3.85 4.20
-0.75 2.83 2.97
-0.25 2.06 2.15
0 1.79 1.87
+0.25 1.56 1.62
+0.75 1.30 1.33
+1.00 1.16 1.18
+1.25 1.13 1.15
+1.50 1.10 1.12
+1.75 1.05 1.06
Primary Bets
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