PRO Vercelli vs Alcione Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

PRO Vercelli
Final Score
2 – 2
(HT 1-0)
Alcione
Kick-off 16:30 Stadium Stadio Silvio Piola

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

PRO Vercelli opened at -0.25 against Alcione in the Serie C - Girone A. The current market consensus is 0, the same as the closing line. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward Alcione from the opening line. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.28 / 1.32
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
PRO Vercelli 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.04
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.04 AH points more toward Alcione than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

No positive price advantage at the valid market line.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → 0
Pinnacle Closing
0
Consensus Closing
0
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
21:10
Opening
-0.25
12:56
Last Pre-Match
0
16:29
PRE1
0
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.86 / 2.52 0 1.79 / 1.87 0 +0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.93 / 1.88 0 1.87 / 1.95 0 0
Bet365 -0.25 2.00 / 2.60 0 1.85 / 1.95 0 +0.25
1xBet -0.25 1.88 / 2.52 0 1.79 / 1.87 0 +0.25
Betano +0.25 1.62 / 1.60 +0.25 1.57 / 1.65 -0.25 0
BetVictor 0 1.84 / 1.82 0 1.78 / 1.89 0 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 10.00 10.50
-1.75 7.80 8.40
-1.50 5.70 6.10
-1.25 5.15 5.54
-1.00 4.60 5.00
-0.75 3.08 3.28
-0.25 2.16 2.24
0 1.79 1.87
+0.25 1.52 1.58
+0.75 1.25 1.28
+1.00 1.10 1.13
+1.25 1.08 1.10
+1.50 1.06 1.08

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.25 6.25
-1.25 4.50 5.75
-1.00 4.10 5.25
-0.75 3.00 3.55
-0.50 2.42 2.85
-0.25 2.10 2.42
0 1.85 1.95
+0.25 1.52 1.70
+0.50 1.40 1.52
+0.75 1.27 1.38
+1.00 1.16 1.23
+1.25 1.14 1.19
+1.50 1.12 1.16

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.50 2.66
-0.25 2.15 2.27
0 1.78 1.89
+0.25 1.54 1.60
+0.50 1.40 1.45

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.47 2.65
-0.25 2.15 2.30
+0.25 1.57 1.65
+0.50 1.44 1.50

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.80 8.40
-1.50 5.70 6.10
-1.25 5.15 5.55
-1.00 4.65 5.00
-0.75 3.08 3.28
-0.25 2.14 2.24
0 1.79 1.87
+0.25 1.52 1.57
+0.75 1.25 1.28
+1.00 1.10 1.12
+1.25 1.08 1.10
+1.50 1.06 1.08

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.21 3.33
-0.50 2.58 2.69
-0.25 2.24 2.33
0 1.87 1.95
+0.25 1.59 1.64
+0.50 1.44 1.47
+0.75 1.31 1.33
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing was captured at PRE1.

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