Shkendija vs Hibernian Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Shkendija
Final Score
0 – 0
(HT 0-0)
Hibernian
Kick-off 18:00 Stadium National Arena Toshe Proeski

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Shkendija opened at 0 against Hibernian in the UEFA Europa Conference League. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 6 of 10 valid books, with 60% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.14
Shkendija +0.14

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

xG (pre-match) 1.22 / 1.38
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Shkendija 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 6 / 10 books · Moderate
Model–Market Gap
0.14
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.14 AH points more toward Hibernian than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Hibernian 0
@ 1.88
Best Available Price · 1xBet
Line Edge
0.14
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.82
Price Advantage
+3.3%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
6 / 10 valid books · 60% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
08:21
Opening
0
16:41
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
SBO SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 3 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
10Bet 0 1.80 / 1.91 0 1.91 / 1.80 — 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.82 / 1.91 0 1.91 / 1.82 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.84 / 1.93 0 1.96 / 1.86 — 0
SBO SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.11 / 2.07 -0.25 2.11 / 2.07 — 0
Bet365 0 1.85 / 1.95 0 2.00 / 1.80 — 0
1xBet 0 1.88 / 1.97 0 1.97 / 1.88 — 0
Unibet -0.50 2.40 / 2.48 -0.50 2.55 / 2.23 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.62 / 1.70 +0.25 1.70 / 1.62 — 0
Superbet -0.50 2.40 / 2.47 -0.50 2.40 / 2.47 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.79 / 1.88 0 1.90 / 1.78 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

10Bet Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.91 1.80

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.70 10.00
-2.00 8.70 9.00
-1.75 6.95 6.86
-1.50 5.25 4.90
-1.25 4.76 4.45
-1.00 4.30 3.96
-0.75 3.05 2.84
-0.25 2.31 2.09
0 1.97 1.88
+0.25 1.62 1.64
+0.75 1.33 1.29
+1.00 1.17 1.15
+1.25 1.14 1.12
+1.50 1.11 1.09
+1.75 1.06 1.04
+2.00 1.02 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.80 6.60
-1.50 5.25 5.00
-1.25 4.50 4.40
-1.00 4.10 4.00
-0.75 2.85 3.00
-0.50 2.38 2.42
-0.25 2.10 2.20
0 2.00 1.80
+0.25 1.65 1.70
+0.50 1.52 1.55
+0.75 1.38 1.40
+1.00 1.23 1.23
+1.25 1.20 1.19
+1.50 1.17 1.16
+1.75 1.11 1.10

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.15 2.91
-0.50 2.56 2.39
-0.25 2.23 2.08
0 1.90 1.78
+0.25 1.64 1.56
+0.50 1.49 1.43
+0.75 1.34 1.29

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.57 2.45
-0.25 2.27 2.12
+0.25 1.70 1.62
+0.50 1.53 1.50

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.00 9.10
-1.75 6.95 6.45
-1.50 5.25 4.90
-1.25 4.75 4.45
-1.00 4.30 3.96
-0.75 3.05 2.85
-0.25 2.19 2.09
0 1.91 1.82
+0.25 1.62 1.56
+0.75 1.33 1.29
+1.00 1.17 1.15
+1.25 1.14 1.12
+1.50 1.11 1.09
+1.75 1.05 1.04

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.40 3.42
-0.75 3.10 2.91
-0.50 2.55 2.43
-0.25 2.27 2.15
0 1.96 1.86
+0.25 1.69 1.62
+0.50 1.53 1.49
+0.75 1.38 1.34
+1.00 1.27 1.27

SBO Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.11 2.07
+0.25 1.71 1.70

Superbet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.30 9.30
-1.50 4.55 4.75
-0.50 2.40 2.47
+0.50 1.48 1.51
+1.50 1.15 1.16
+2.50 1.04 1.04

Unibet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.80 4.00
-0.50 2.55 2.23
+0.50 1.56 1.43
+1.50 1.19 1.13
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
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