Austria Vienna vs Beitar Jerusalem Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Austria Vienna
Final Score
1 – 2
(HT 0-1)
Beitar Jerusalem
Kick-off 18:30 Stadium Generali Arena

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Austria Vienna opened at 0 against Beitar Jerusalem in the UEFA Europa Conference League. The current market consensus is -0.25. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward Austria Vienna from the opening line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 9 valid books, with 33% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is +0.25.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.02
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.31 / 1.29
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Austria Vienna -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 3 / 10 books · Weak
Model–Market Gap
0.23
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.23 AH points more toward Beitar Jerusalem than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

The current market does not provide sufficient validation for a tradable signal.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 9 valid books · 33% agreement · Weak

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:22
Opening
0
18:00
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP +0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
+0.25
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
10Bet 0 1.65 / 2.10 0 1.95 / 1.77 — 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.91 / 2.35 0 2.05 / 1.71 — +0.25
Betfair DEEP +1.50 1.11 / 1.20 +1.50 1.11 / 1.20 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.70 / 2.11 +0.25 1.86 / 1.53 — +0.25
Bet365 +0.25 1.52 / 1.82 -0.25 2.10 / 1.90 — -0.50
1xBet 0 1.73 / 2.15 0 2.11 / 1.76 — 0
Unibet -0.50 2.10 / 2.80 -0.50 2.38 / 2.25 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.53 / 1.82 +0.25 1.78 / 1.55 — 0
Superbet -0.50 2.22 / 2.70 -0.50 2.22 / 2.70 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.64 / 2.08 -0.25 2.50 / 1.87 — -0.25
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

10Bet Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.95 1.77

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 10.00 8.80
-2.00 9.20 8.00
-1.75 7.00 5.39
-1.50 5.35 4.20
-1.25 4.90 3.80
-1.00 4.45 3.34
-0.75 3.18 2.56
-0.25 2.42 1.93
0 2.11 1.76
+0.25 1.73 1.59
+0.75 1.40 1.27
+1.00 1.24 1.14
+1.25 1.19 1.11
+1.50 1.15 1.09
+1.75 1.09 1.04
+2.00 1.02 1.02

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.90 7.00
-1.50 4.50 5.50
-1.25 4.10 4.80
-1.00 3.70 4.40
-0.75 2.85 3.10
-0.50 2.38 2.50
-0.25 2.10 1.90
0 2.02 1.78
+0.25 1.90 1.70
+0.50 1.50 1.55
+0.75 1.35 1.40
+1.00 1.20 1.26
+1.25 1.18 1.23
+1.50 1.15 1.19
+1.75 1.10 1.13

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.60 3.30
-0.75 3.20 2.53
-0.50 2.83 2.13
-0.25 2.50 1.87
0 2.14 1.61
+0.25 1.80 1.45
+0.50 1.61 1.36
+0.75 1.44 1.29
+1.00 1.27 1.23

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.60 2.70
-0.50 2.60 2.27
-0.25 2.40 2.00
+0.25 1.78 1.55
+0.50 1.62 1.47
+0.75 1.45 1.47

Betfair Main —

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.50 11.00
-1.50 4.00 6.00
+1.50 1.11 1.20
+2.50 1.02 1.05

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.30 8.80
-2.00 9.00 8.00
-1.75 7.00 5.40
-1.50 5.35 4.20
-1.25 4.90 3.80
-1.00 4.45 3.34
-0.75 3.18 2.57
-0.25 2.30 1.93
0 2.05 1.71
+0.25 1.73 1.51
+0.75 1.40 1.27
+1.00 1.24 1.14
+1.25 1.19 1.11
+1.50 1.15 1.09
+1.75 1.09 1.04

Pinnacle Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.39 3.26
-0.75 2.96 2.54
-0.50 2.73 2.18
-0.25 2.43 1.95
0 2.15 1.69
+0.25 1.86 1.53
+0.50 1.67 1.43
+0.75 1.49 1.37
+1.00 1.32 1.30

Superbet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.15 5.25
-0.50 2.22 2.70
+0.50 1.41 1.58
+1.50 1.12 1.19

Unibet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.60 4.25
-0.50 2.38 2.25
+0.50 1.54 1.50
+1.50 1.17 1.14
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
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