CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

CSKA Sofia
Final Score
1 – 3
(HT 0-1)
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Kick-off 18:00 Stadium National Stadium Vasil Levski

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

CSKA Sofia opened at 0 against Maccabi Tel Aviv in the UEFA Europa League. The current market consensus is 0, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 9 valid books, with 56% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.20
CSKA Sofia -0.20

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

xG (pre-match) 1.41 / 1.19
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
CSKA Sofia 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 10 books · Moderate
Model–Market Gap
0.20
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.20 AH points more toward CSKA Sofia than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

Price advantage is below the lean threshold.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 9 valid books · 56% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → 0
Pinnacle Closing
0
Consensus Closing
0
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:23
Opening
0
16:42
Last Pre-Match
0
17:59
PRE1
0
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
10Bet 0 1.65 / 2.15 0 1.67 / 2.15 0 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.68 / 2.11 0 1.72 / 2.05 0 0
Betfair DEEP +1.50 1.11 / 1.17 +1.50 1.11 / 1.17 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP +0.25 1.51 / 1.81 0 1.78 / 2.10 0 -0.25
Bet365 +0.25 1.50 / 1.78 0 1.75 / 2.05 0 -0.25
1xBet 0 1.74 / 2.19 0 1.78 / 2.13 0 0
Unibet -0.50 2.17 / 2.90 -0.50 2.23 / 2.80 -0.50 0
Betano +0.25 1.53 / 1.75 +0.25 1.55 / 1.75 -0.25 0
Superbet +0.50 1.38 / 1.56 -0.50 2.30 / 2.80 -0.50 -1.00
BetVictor 0 1.65 / 2.07 -0.25 1.98 / 2.39 -0.25 -0.25
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

10Bet Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.67 2.15

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.15 8.00
-1.50 4.65 5.90
-1.25 4.20 5.44
-1.00 3.74 4.95
-0.75 2.75 3.40
-0.25 2.10 2.38
0 1.78 2.13
+0.25 1.49 1.80
+0.75 1.23 1.36
+1.00 1.11 1.19
+1.25 1.08 1.15
+1.50 1.07 1.12
+1.75 1.02 1.06

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.50 5.75
-1.25 4.15 5.50
-1.00 3.70 4.80
-0.75 2.75 3.45
-0.50 2.35 2.85
-0.25 2.02 2.42
0 1.75 2.05
+0.25 1.52 1.78
+0.50 1.40 1.58
+0.75 1.30 1.42
+1.00 1.18 1.26
+1.25 1.15 1.22
+1.50 1.14 1.19

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.77 3.35
-0.50 2.28 2.73
-0.25 1.98 2.39
0 1.68 2.02
+0.25 1.49 1.71
+0.50 1.38 1.54
+0.75 1.26 1.37

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.35 2.75
-0.25 2.05 2.40
+0.25 1.55 1.75
+0.50 1.44 1.57

Betfair Main —

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.50 11.00
-1.50 4.50 6.00
+1.50 1.11 1.17
+2.50 1.02 1.04

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.15 8.00
-1.50 4.65 5.90
-1.25 4.20 5.45
-1.00 3.74 4.95
-0.75 2.75 3.42
-0.25 1.98 2.38
0 1.72 2.05
+0.25 1.49 1.70
+0.75 1.24 1.36
+1.00 1.11 1.19
+1.25 1.08 1.15
+1.50 1.07 1.12
+1.75 1.02 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.88 5.26
-0.75 2.90 3.59
-0.50 2.42 2.86
-0.25 2.09 2.48
0 1.78 2.10
+0.25 1.55 1.75
+0.50 1.43 1.57
+0.75 1.29 1.41
+1.00 1.17 1.26

Superbet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.50 5.80
-0.50 2.30 2.80
+0.50 1.38 1.56
+1.50 1.10 1.16

Unibet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.30 5.75
-0.50 2.23 2.80
+0.50 1.36 1.56
+1.50 1.09 1.16
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing was captured at PRE1.

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