CA Bizertin vs US Monastirienne Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

CA Bizertin
Oct 10, 2026 - 13:30
1.16 1.44
US Monastirienne
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

CA Bizertin opened at 0 against US Monastirienne in the Ligue 1. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.25
CA Bizertin +0.25

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
CA Bizertin 0
Model–Market Gap
0.25
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.25 AH points more toward US Monastirienne than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
US Monastirienne 0
@ 1.95
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.25
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.70
Price Advantage
+14.7%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.78 / 1.88 0 1.79 / 1.87 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.83 / 1.95 0 1.83 / 1.95 — 0
Bet365 0 1.90 / 1.90 0 1.90 / 1.90 — 0
1xBet 0 1.78 / 1.88 0 1.79 / 1.87 — 0
Betano -0.50 2.85 / 3.00 -0.50 2.85 / 3.00 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.64 / 1.69 0 1.64 / 1.69 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.25
xG 1.16 / 1.44 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.83
CA Bizertin @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.43
CA Bizertin @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.83 vs 2.43
Market price is 24.7% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.65 9.30
-1.50 6.40 6.80
-1.25 5.80 6.24
-1.00 5.20 5.65
-0.75 3.28 3.50
-0.25 2.19 2.28
0 1.79 1.87
+0.25 1.50 1.57
+0.75 1.22 1.25
+1.00 1.08 1.10
+1.25 1.06 1.07
+1.50 1.04 1.05

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.90 1.90

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.64 1.69

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.85 3.00
+0.50 1.36 1.39

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.70 9.30
-1.50 6.40 6.80
-1.25 5.80 6.25
-1.00 5.20 5.65
-0.75 3.28 3.50
-0.25 2.17 2.28
0 1.79 1.87
+0.25 1.50 1.55
+0.75 1.22 1.25
+1.00 1.08 1.10
+1.25 1.06 1.07
+1.50 1.04 1.05

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.85 4.12
-0.50 2.97 3.15
-0.25 2.43 2.58
0 1.83 1.95
+0.25 1.47 1.53
+0.50 1.32 1.35
+0.75 1.20 1.23
Primary Bets
More