Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Oita Trinita
Oct 03, 2026 - 08:00
1.15 1.45
Montedio Yamagata
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Oita Trinita opened at 0 against Montedio Yamagata in the J2 League. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.27
Oita Trinita +0.27

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Oita Trinita 0
Model–Market Gap
0.27
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.27 AH points more toward Montedio Yamagata than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Montedio Yamagata 0
@ 1.92
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.27
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.68
Price Advantage
+14.3%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.95 / 1.72 0 1.83 / 1.82 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.00 / 1.81 0 1.89 / 1.91 — 0
Bet365 0 1.98 / 1.82 0 1.88 / 1.92 — 0
1xBet 0 1.95 / 1.72 0 1.83 / 1.82 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.32 / 2.10 -0.25 2.25 / 2.20 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.93 / 1.75 0 1.84 / 1.83 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.27
xG 1.15 / 1.45 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.89
Oita Trinita @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.47
Oita Trinita @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.89 vs 2.47
Market price is 23.5% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.90 7.01
-1.50 5.30 5.15
-1.25 4.85 4.70
-1.00 4.40 4.25
-0.75 3.05 2.97
-0.25 2.17 2.12
0 1.83 1.82
+0.25 1.58 1.58
+0.75 1.30 1.28
+1.00 1.15 1.14
+1.25 1.12 1.11
+1.50 1.10 1.09
+1.75 1.05 1.04

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.50 5.75
-1.25 5.00 5.25
-1.00 4.40 4.50
-0.75 3.10 3.30
-0.50 2.60 2.60
-0.25 2.25 2.30
0 1.88 1.92
+0.25 1.60 1.62
+0.50 1.48 1.48
+0.75 1.32 1.35
+1.00 1.19 1.20
+1.25 1.16 1.17
+1.50 1.14 1.15

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.56 2.53
-0.25 2.20 2.19
0 1.84 1.83
+0.25 1.58 1.57
+0.50 1.44 1.43

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.55 2.50
-0.25 2.25 2.20
+0.25 1.62 1.60
+0.50 1.50 1.47

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.90 6.75
-1.50 5.30 5.15
-1.25 4.85 4.70
-1.00 4.40 4.25
-0.75 3.05 2.97
-0.25 2.15 2.12
0 1.83 1.82
+0.25 1.58 1.56
+0.75 1.30 1.28
+1.00 1.15 1.14
+1.25 1.12 1.11
+1.50 1.10 1.09
+1.75 1.04 1.04

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.64 4.67
-0.75 3.26 3.28
-0.50 2.64 2.65
-0.25 2.27 2.28
0 1.89 1.91
+0.25 1.62 1.62
+0.50 1.47 1.47
+0.75 1.32 1.32
+1.00 1.18 1.18
Primary Bets
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