Al Orubah vs Al-Raed Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Al Orubah
Final Score
0 – 1
(HT 0-1)
Al-Raed
Kick-off 17:50 Stadium Al-Jouf University Stadium

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Al Orubah opened at 0 against Al-Raed in the Division 1. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
0
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.30 / 1.30
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Al Orubah 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 4 / 4 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.00
handicap points
3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Al-Raed 0
@ 2.08
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.00
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.00
Price Advantage
+4.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
23:36
Opening
0
15:41
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.75 / 1.93 0 1.70 / 2.00 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.74 / 2.08 0 1.74 / 2.08 — 0
1xBet 0 1.75 / 1.93 0 1.70 / 2.00 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.67 / 2.03 0 1.67 / 2.03 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.80 7.40
-1.50 4.50 5.65
-1.25 4.05 4.70
-1.00 3.58 4.70
-0.75 2.68 3.28
-0.25 1.98 2.32
0 1.70 2.00
+0.25 1.50 1.72
+0.75 1.25 1.38
+1.00 1.12 1.21
+1.25 1.15 1.16
+1.50 1.08 1.13
+1.75 1.03 1.07

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.67 2.03

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.80 7.40
-1.50 4.50 5.65
-1.25 4.05 5.15
-1.00 3.58 4.70
-0.75 2.66 3.28
-0.25 1.95 2.30
0 1.70 2.00
+0.25 1.49 1.69
+0.75 1.25 1.37
+1.00 1.12 1.21
+1.25 1.10 1.16
+1.50 1.08 1.13
+1.75 1.03 1.07

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.38 2.79
-0.25 2.08 2.43
0 1.74 2.08
+0.25 1.53 1.76
+0.50 1.41 1.57
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

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