Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Al-Ettifaq
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:55
1.62 1.12
Al Khaleej Saihat
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Al-Ettifaq opened at -0.25 against Al Khaleej Saihat in the Pro League. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.46
Al-Ettifaq -0.46

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Al-Ettifaq -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.21
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.21 AH points more toward Al-Ettifaq than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Al Khaleej Saihat +0.25
@ 3.10
Best Available Price · Betano
Line Edge
0.21
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.27
Price Advantage
+36.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.66 / 2.83 -0.25 1.66 / 2.83 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.71 / 3.08 -0.25 1.71 / 3.08 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.72 / 2.83 -0.25 1.72 / 2.83 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.75 / 3.10 -0.25 1.75 / 3.10 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.46
xG 1.62 / 1.12 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.71
Al-Ettifaq @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.79
Al-Ettifaq @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.71 vs 1.79
Market price is 4.5% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.29 9.20
-1.50 3.34 6.95
-1.25 3.05 6.54
-1.00 2.69 6.05
-0.75 2.15 4.09
-0.25 1.72 2.83
0 1.48 2.55
+0.25 1.33 2.06
+0.75 1.16 1.56
+1.00 1.06 1.36
+1.25 1.05 1.29
+1.50 1.04 1.24

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.75 3.10
+0.25 1.40 2.15

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.30 9.20
-1.50 3.34 6.95
-1.25 3.05 6.55
-1.00 2.69 6.05
-0.75 2.15 4.10
-0.25 1.66 2.83
0 1.44 2.49
+0.25 1.33 1.99
+0.75 1.16 1.56
+1.00 1.06 1.36
+1.25 1.05 1.28
+1.50 1.04 1.24

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 1.97 3.49
-0.25 1.71 3.08
0 1.46 2.66
+0.25 1.35 2.12
+0.50 1.29 1.84
Primary Bets
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