Phrae United vs Kanchanaburi Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Phrae United
Final Score
2 – 1
(HT 1-1)
Kanchanaburi
Kick-off 12:00 Stadium Huai Ma Stadium

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Phrae United opened at 0 against Kanchanaburi in the Thai League 2. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.21
Phrae United +0.21

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

xG (pre-match) 1.18 / 1.42
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Phrae United 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 4 / 4 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.21
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.21 AH points more toward Kanchanaburi than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Kanchanaburi 0
@ 1.98
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.21
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.74
Price Advantage
+13.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
17:09
Opening
0
12:01
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.91 / 1.75 0 1.83 / 1.82 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.91 / 1.85 0 1.85 / 1.94 — 0
Bet365 0 1.82 / 1.98 0 1.82 / 1.98 — 0
1xBet 0 1.91 / 1.75 0 1.71 / 1.96 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.80 8.20
-2.00 8.70 8.70
-1.50 4.55 5.45
-1.25 4.15 4.44
-1.00 3.74 4.60
-0.75 2.74 3.20
-0.25 2.01 2.28
0 1.71 1.96
+0.25 1.50 1.68
+0.75 1.26 1.35
+1.00 1.13 1.19
+1.25 1.14 1.16
+1.50 1.08 1.13
+2.50 1.02 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.82 1.98

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.30 9.20
-1.50 4.90 4.80
-1.25 4.40 4.45
-1.00 4.05 4.00
-0.75 2.92 2.92
-0.25 2.12 2.10
0 1.83 1.82
+0.25 1.59 1.58
+0.75 1.31 1.31
+1.00 1.17 1.16
+1.25 1.14 1.14
+1.50 1.11 1.11

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.63 3.13
-0.75 2.94 3.14
-0.50 2.44 2.56
-0.25 2.15 2.27
0 1.85 1.94
+0.25 1.60 1.67
+0.50 1.46 1.51
+0.75 1.32 1.36
+1.00 1.31 1.25
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

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