Avellino vs Sampdoria Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Avellino
Oct 09, 2026 - 18:30
0.91 1.08
Sampdoria
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Avellino opened at 0 against Sampdoria in the Serie B. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.14
Avellino +0.14

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Avellino 0
Model–Market Gap
0.14
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.14 AH points more toward Sampdoria than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Sampdoria 0
@ 1.96
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.14
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.77
Price Advantage
+10.7%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.92 / 1.81 0 1.92 / 1.81 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.97 / 1.88 0 1.93 / 1.96 — 0
Bet365 0 1.95 / 1.85 0 1.90 / 1.90 — 0
1xBet 0 1.92 / 1.81 0 1.92 / 1.81 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.70 / 1.60 +0.25 1.70 / 1.60 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.88 / 1.79 0 1.85 / 1.82 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.14
xG 0.91 / 1.08 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.93
Avellino @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.30
Avellino @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.93 vs 2.30
Market price is 16.1% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.40 7.17
-1.50 5.55 5.10
-1.25 5.09 4.64
-1.00 4.60 4.20
-0.75 3.22 2.98
-0.25 2.30 2.12
0 1.92 1.81
+0.25 1.60 1.56
+0.75 1.30 1.26
+1.00 1.16 1.13
+1.25 1.12 1.10
+1.50 1.10 1.08
+1.75 1.05 1.03

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.75 5.50
-1.25 5.25 4.80
-1.00 4.50 4.25
-0.75 3.30 3.10
-0.50 2.68 2.50
-0.25 2.30 2.20
0 1.90 1.90
+0.25 1.65 1.60
+0.50 1.50 1.45
+0.75 1.35 1.32
+1.00 1.21 1.19
+1.25 1.18 1.16
+1.50 1.15 1.14

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.53 2.50
-0.25 2.19 2.16
0 1.85 1.82
+0.25 1.59 1.58
+0.50 1.45 1.44

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.50 3.15
-0.50 2.60 2.67
-0.25 2.42 2.20
+0.25 1.70 1.60
+0.50 1.50 1.53
+0.75 1.38 1.32

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.40 6.75
-1.50 5.55 5.10
-1.25 5.10 4.65
-1.00 4.60 4.20
-0.75 3.22 2.98
-0.25 2.25 2.12
0 1.92 1.81
+0.25 1.60 1.53
+0.75 1.30 1.26
+1.00 1.16 1.13
+1.25 1.12 1.10
+1.50 1.10 1.08
+1.75 1.04 1.03

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.83 4.95
-0.75 3.39 3.45
-0.50 2.74 2.78
-0.25 2.34 2.37
0 1.93 1.96
+0.25 1.63 1.65
+0.50 1.48 1.49
+0.75 1.33 1.34
+1.00 1.19 1.20
Primary Bets
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