Lucksta vs Täfteå Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Lucksta
Sep 27, 2026 - 11:00
1.30 1.30
Täfteå
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 3 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Lucksta opened at 0 against Täfteå in the Division 2 - Norrland. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
0
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Lucksta 0
Model–Market Gap
0.00
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 3 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Decision
WAIT

No positive price advantage at the valid market line.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.80 / 1.86 0 1.82 / 1.83 — 0
Bet365 0 1.85 / 1.95 0 1.85 / 1.95 — 0
1xBet 0 1.85 / 1.85 0 1.82 / 1.83 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
0
xG 1.30 / 1.30 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.82
Lucksta @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.00
Lucksta @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.82 vs 2.00
Market price is 9.0% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.00 9.10
-2.00 8.10 8.30
-1.75 5.55 5.65
-1.50 4.33 4.40
-1.25 3.96 4.04
-1.00 3.58 3.58
-0.75 2.74 2.78
-0.25 2.08 2.08
0 1.82 1.83
+0.25 1.60 1.63
+0.75 1.34 1.35
+1.00 1.21 1.21
+1.25 1.16 1.17
+1.50 1.14 1.14
+1.75 1.08 1.08
+2.00 1.02 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.50 5.75
-1.50 4.15 4.40
-1.25 3.80 4.10
-1.00 3.45 3.70
-0.75 2.75 2.85
0 1.85 1.95
+0.75 1.40 1.42
+1.00 1.26 1.30
+1.25 1.23 1.25
+1.50 1.20 1.22
+1.75 1.14 1.15

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.00 9.10
-2.00 8.10 8.30
-1.75 5.55 5.65
-1.50 4.33 4.40
-1.25 3.96 4.05
-1.00 3.58 3.58
-0.75 2.74 2.78
-0.25 2.06 2.08
0 1.82 1.83
+0.25 1.60 1.62
+0.75 1.34 1.35
+1.00 1.21 1.21
+1.25 1.17 1.17
+1.50 1.14 1.14
+1.75 1.08 1.08
+2.00 1.02 1.02
Primary Bets
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