Inter vs FAS Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Inter
Final Score
2 – 2
(HT 1-2)
FAS
Kick-off 01:00

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Inter opened at -0.25 against FAS in the Primera Division. The current market consensus is 0. The closing line is -0.25. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward FAS from the opening line. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 6 valid books, with 50% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.25
Inter +0.25

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

xG (pre-match) 1.16 / 1.44
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Inter 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 3 / 6 books · Moderate
Model–Market Gap
0.25
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.25 AH points more toward FAS than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
FAS 0
@ 1.82
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.25
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.70
Price Advantage
+7.1%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 6 valid books · 50% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → -0.25
Pinnacle Closing
-0.25
Consensus Closing
-0.25
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
08:43
Opening
-0.25
00:45
Last Pre-Match
0
23:59
PRE1
-0.25
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.46 / 1.83 -0.25 2.46 / 1.83 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 3.08 / 1.71 0 2.01 / 1.82 -0.25 +0.25
Bet365 0 1.98 / 1.82 0 1.98 / 1.82 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.50 / 1.83 0 1.95 / 1.72 — +0.25
Unibet -0.50 2.95 / 2.04 -0.50 2.95 / 2.04 -0.50 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.16 / 1.74 -0.25 2.02 / 1.84 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.50 4.70
-1.25 4.80 4.30
-1.00 4.70 3.88
-0.75 3.28 2.83
-0.25 2.33 2.03
0 1.95 1.72
+0.25 1.63 1.51
+0.75 1.33 1.25
+1.00 1.18 1.12
+1.25 1.14 1.12
+1.50 1.12 1.08

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.98 1.82

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.26 2.08
-0.25 2.02 1.84
0 1.75 1.60
+0.25 1.52 1.42
+0.50 1.39 1.32

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.15 4.10
-1.00 5.20 3.28
-0.75 3.50 2.49
-0.25 2.46 1.83
0 2.16 1.60
+0.25 1.79 1.43
+0.75 1.42 1.22
+1.00 1.25 1.10
+1.50 1.16 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.41 3.02
-0.50 2.74 2.50
-0.25 2.39 2.17
0 2.01 1.82
+0.25 1.68 1.57
+0.50 1.51 1.43
+0.75 1.36 1.29

Unibet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.95 2.04
+0.50 1.67 1.33
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing was captured at PRE1.

View Full Audit Report →
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