Estoril U23 vs Sporting CP U23 Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Estoril U23
Final Score
1 – 0
Sporting CP U23
Kick-off 10:30

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Estoril U23 opened at 0 against Sporting CP U23 in the Liga Revelação U23. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
0
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.30 / 1.30
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Estoril U23 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 5 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.00
handicap points
3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

No positive price advantage at the valid market line.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
17:04
Opening
0
09:51
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.70 / 1.98 0 1.83 / 1.83 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.79 / 2.01 0 1.96 / 1.86 — 0
Bet365 0 1.80 / 2.00 0 2.00 / 1.80 — 0
1xBet 0 1.70 / 1.98 0 1.83 / 1.83 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.73 / 1.95 0 1.88 / 1.79 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.50 8.50
-2.00 8.10 8.80
-1.75 6.60 6.84
-1.50 5.00 4.95
-1.25 4.55 4.50
-1.00 4.10 4.00
-0.75 2.92 2.92
-0.25 2.14 2.10
0 1.83 1.83
+0.25 1.59 1.60
+0.75 1.31 1.31
+1.00 1.17 1.16
+1.25 1.13 1.13
+1.50 1.11 1.10
+1.75 1.06 1.05
+2.00 1.02 1.03
+2.50 1.04 1.04

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 2.00 1.80

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.51 2.39
-0.25 2.20 2.09
0 1.88 1.79
+0.25 1.63 1.57
+0.50 1.49 1.45

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.60 6.55
-1.50 5.00 4.95
-1.25 4.55 4.50
-1.00 4.10 4.00
-0.75 2.92 2.92
-0.25 2.12 2.10
0 1.83 1.83
+0.25 1.59 1.58
+0.75 1.31 1.31
+1.00 1.17 1.16
+1.25 1.13 1.13
+1.50 1.11 1.10
+1.75 1.05 1.05

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.10 2.91
-0.50 2.56 2.43
-0.25 2.27 2.15
0 1.96 1.86
+0.25 1.69 1.62
+0.50 1.53 1.48
+0.75 1.38 1.34
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing data was not captured.

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