Coventry vs Monaco Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Coventry
Final Score
2 – 0
(HT 2-0)
Monaco
Kick-off 18:30

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Coventry opened at 0 against Monaco in the Friendlies Clubs. The current market consensus is 0, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 10 valid books, with 50% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.32 / 1.28
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Coventry 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 10 books · Moderate
Model–Market Gap
0.04
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.04 AH points more toward Coventry than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Monaco 0
@ 2.10
Best Available Price · 1xBet
Line Edge
0.04
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.05
Price Advantage
+2.4%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 10 valid books · 50% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → 0
Pinnacle Closing
0
Consensus Closing
0
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
08:03
Opening
0
18:00
Last Pre-Match
0
18:29
PRE1
0
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
SBO SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 3 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
10Bet 0 1.80 / 1.95 0 1.85 / 1.90 0 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.80 / 1.95 0 1.76 / 2.00 0 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.83 / 1.97 0 1.90 / 1.92 0 0
SBO SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.13 / 2.16 -0.25 2.13 / 2.16 -0.25 0
Bet365 0 1.75 / 2.05 0 1.85 / 1.95 0 0
1xBet 0 1.88 / 2.03 0 1.82 / 2.10 — 0
Unibet -0.50 2.20 / 2.43 -0.50 2.18 / 2.45 -0.50 0
Betano +0.25 1.62 / 1.80 +0.25 1.70 / 1.70 +0.25 0
Superbet -0.50 2.22 / 2.57 -0.50 2.22 / 2.57 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.72 / 1.89 -0.25 1.90 / 2.27 — -0.25
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

10Bet Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.85 1.90

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 7.70 9.20
-2.00 7.10 8.60
-1.75 4.95 5.95
-1.50 3.94 4.70
-1.25 3.58 4.33
-1.00 3.22 3.96
-0.75 2.53 2.96
-0.25 2.08 2.24
0 1.82 2.10
+0.25 1.55 1.84
+0.75 1.30 1.42
+1.00 1.17 1.26
+1.25 1.14 1.21
+1.50 1.12 1.17
+1.75 1.07 1.11

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.75 5.75
-1.50 4.40 4.40
-1.25 4.00 4.00
-1.00 3.70 3.70
-0.75 2.85 2.85
-0.50 2.42 2.42
-0.25 2.15 2.15
0 1.85 1.95
+0.25 1.68 1.68
+0.50 1.52 1.52
+0.75 1.40 1.40
+1.00 1.26 1.26
+1.25 1.23 1.23
+1.50 1.20 1.20
+1.75 1.14 1.14

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.14 2.44
-0.25 1.90 2.27
0 1.65 1.98
+0.25 1.49 1.71
+0.50 1.43 1.56

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.00 3.00
-0.50 2.50 2.52
-0.25 2.22 2.22
+0.25 1.70 1.70
+0.50 1.55 1.57
+0.75 1.42 1.42

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 7.70 9.20
-2.00 7.10 8.60
-1.75 4.95 5.95
-1.50 3.95 4.70
-1.25 3.58 4.33
-1.00 3.22 3.96
-0.75 2.53 2.98
-0.25 1.96 2.24
0 1.76 2.00
+0.25 1.55 1.72
+0.75 1.31 1.42
+1.00 1.17 1.26
+1.25 1.14 1.21
+1.50 1.12 1.17
+1.75 1.07 1.11

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.81 2.83
-0.50 2.38 2.40
-0.25 2.15 2.17
0 1.90 1.92
+0.25 1.68 1.69
+0.50 1.54 1.55
+0.75 1.40 1.41

SBO Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.13 2.16
+0.25 1.66 1.68

Superbet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.00 4.75
-0.50 2.22 2.57
+0.50 1.45 1.58
+1.50 1.15 1.21

Unibet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.80 4.50
-0.50 2.18 2.45
+0.50 1.44 1.56
+1.50 1.13 1.20
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing was captured at PRE1.

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