Consensus
?Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains.
Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement
· Strong
Line Move
-0.25
Toward Home · Opening → Current
Asian Handicap Market Summary
SC Covilha opened at 0 against Oliveirense in the Liga 3. The current market consensus is -0.25. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward SC Covilha from the opening line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.
Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.07
Approximately Level (0)
Model pricing view — not a bet.
Model sees the match close to a level handicap.
Market
Tradable Consensus
SC Covilha -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.32
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25
· 3 / 4 books
· Strong
Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.
Model prices the match 0.32 AH points more toward Oliveirense than the current market.
Decision
LEAN
Oliveirense +0.25
@ 1.98
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.32
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.67
Price Advantage
+18.6%
vs model fair
Not a Primary Bet
Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.
Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong
Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP-0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK-0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book
Opening
Open H / A
Current
Cur H / A
Closing
Line Move
Marathonbet
SHARP BOOK
0
1.93 / 1.74
-0.25
2.46 / 1.91
—
-0.25
Pinnacle
SHARP
0
2.06 / 1.78
-0.25
2.62 / 1.98
—
-0.25
Bet365
0
1.85 / 1.95
0
1.85 / 1.95
—
0
1xBet
0
1.93 / 1.74
-0.25
2.49 / 1.91
—
-0.25
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.07
xG 1.26 / 1.34 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.62
SC Covilha @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.48
SC Covilha @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.62 vs 2.48
Market price is 5.6% above model fair price.
Not betting EV
The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.
Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.
1xBet
Main -0.25
AH
Home
Away
-1.50
6.90
4.80
-1.25
4.74
4.30
-1.00
5.75
3.80
-0.75
3.70
2.70
-0.25
2.49
1.91
0
2.10
1.62
+0.25
1.72
1.45
+0.75
1.36
1.20
+1.00
1.19
1.07
+1.25
1.14
1.12
+1.50
1.11
1.04
Bet365
Main 0
AH
Home
Away
0
1.85
1.95
Marathonbet
Main -0.25
AH
Home
Away
-1.50
6.90
4.80
-1.25
4.75
4.30
-1.00
5.75
3.80
-0.75
3.70
2.70
-0.25
2.46
1.91
0
2.10
1.62
+0.25
1.72
1.43
+0.75
1.36
1.20
+1.00
1.19
1.07
+1.25
1.14
1.12
+1.50
1.11
1.04
Pinnacle
Main -0.25
AH
Home
Away
-0.75
3.50
2.71
-0.50
3.02
2.28
-0.25
2.62
1.98
0
2.23
1.65
+0.25
1.84
1.46
+0.50
1.62
1.36
+0.75
1.43
1.28
Match Prediction
Explore the AI prediction for this match, including Final Verdict and market decisions.
