Frome Town vs Taunton Town Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Frome Town
Final Score
2 – 2
(HT 2-1)
Taunton Town
Kick-off 18:45 Stadium Aldersmith Stadium

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Frome Town opened at -0.25 against Taunton Town in the Non League Premier - Southern South. The current market consensus is -0.25, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.14
Frome Town +0.14

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

xG (pre-match) 1.22 / 1.38
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Frome Town -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 4 / 5 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.39
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.39 AH points more toward Taunton Town than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Taunton Town +0.25
@ 2.75
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.39
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.62
Price Advantage
+69.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → -0.25
Pinnacle Closing
-0.25
Consensus Closing
-0.25
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
02:15
Opening
-0.25
18:00
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
18:44
PRE1
-0.25
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.57 / 2.97 -0.25 1.71 / 2.69 -0.25 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.79 / 2.69 -0.25 1.80 / 2.71 -0.25 0
Bet365 -0.50 2.00 / 3.10 -0.50 2.00 / 3.10 -0.25 0
1xBet -0.25 1.60 / 3.10 -0.25 1.71 / 2.69 -0.25 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.75 / 2.70 -0.25 1.73 / 2.73 -0.25 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.34 6.05
-1.25 3.06 5.69
-1.00 2.74 5.30
-0.75 2.21 3.76
-0.25 1.71 2.69
0 1.48 2.33
+0.25 1.36 1.92
+0.75 1.19 1.53
+1.00 1.09 1.37
+1.25 1.08 1.30
+1.50 1.06 1.24

Bet365 Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.30 5.90
-1.25 3.00 5.75
-1.00 2.68 5.25
-0.75 2.25 3.80
-0.50 2.00 3.10
-0.25 1.75 2.75
0 1.52 2.42
+0.25 1.42 2.05
+0.50 1.35 1.80
+0.75 1.25 1.62
+1.00 1.16 1.45
+1.25 1.14 1.38
+1.50 1.13 1.32

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.73 2.73
0 1.50 2.36
+0.25 1.38 1.95

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.34 6.05
-1.25 3.04 5.70
-1.00 2.74 5.30
-0.75 2.21 3.76
-0.25 1.71 2.69
0 1.48 2.33
+0.25 1.36 1.92
+0.75 1.19 1.53
+1.00 1.09 1.37
+1.25 1.08 1.29
+1.50 1.06 1.24

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.02 3.05
-0.25 1.80 2.71
0 1.55 2.39
+0.25 1.42 2.00
+0.50 1.34 1.75
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing was captured at PRE1.

View Full Audit Report →
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