Chippenham Town vs Sholing Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Chippenham Town
Sep 22, 2026 - 18:45 PST
1.26 1.34
Sholing
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Chippenham Town opened at 0 against Sholing in the Non League Premier - Southern South. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.07
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Chippenham Town 0
Model–Market Gap
0.07
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.07 AH points more toward Sholing than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Sholing 0
@ 1.95
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.07
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.90
Price Advantage
+2.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.89 / 2.33 0 1.82 / 1.83 — +0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.78 / 2.00 0 1.85 / 1.90 — 0
Bet365 0 1.78 / 2.02 0 1.85 / 1.95 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.92 / 2.43 0 1.82 / 1.83 — +0.25
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.07
xG 1.26 / 1.34 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.85
Chippenham Town @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.11
Chippenham Town @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.85 vs 2.11
Market price is 12.3% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.80 10.00
-1.75 6.30 6.50
-1.50 4.85 4.95
-1.25 4.44 4.54
-1.00 4.00 4.15
-0.75 2.92 2.98
-0.25 2.12 2.14
0 1.82 1.83
+0.25 1.57 1.60
+0.75 1.30 1.31
+1.00 1.16 1.17
+1.25 1.13 1.14
+1.50 1.11 1.11
+1.75 1.05 1.06

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.50 6.25
-1.50 4.25 4.80
-1.25 3.90 4.40
-1.00 3.55 4.00
-0.75 2.75 3.10
-0.50 2.35 2.60
-0.25 2.08 2.30
0 1.85 1.95
+0.25 1.60 1.72
+0.50 1.48 1.58
+0.75 1.35 1.42
+1.00 1.23 1.27
+1.25 1.20 1.24
+1.50 1.18 1.21
+1.75 1.12 1.15

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.30 6.50
-1.50 4.85 4.95
-1.25 4.45 4.55
-1.00 4.00 4.15
-0.75 2.92 2.97
-0.25 2.10 2.14
0 1.82 1.83
+0.25 1.57 1.59
+0.75 1.30 1.31
+1.00 1.16 1.17
+1.25 1.13 1.14
+1.50 1.11 1.11
+1.75 1.05 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.94 3.02
-0.50 2.46 2.51
-0.25 2.17 2.21
0 1.85 1.90
+0.25 1.61 1.63
+0.50 1.46 1.48
+0.75 1.33 1.34
Primary Bets
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