Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs Uskok Klis Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Oct 09, 2026 - 13:30
1.12 1.48
Uskok Klis
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 3 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Hrvatski Dragovoljac opened at -0.25 against Uskok Klis in the Second NL. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.32
Hrvatski Dragovoljac +0.32

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Hrvatski Dragovoljac -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.57
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 3 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.57 AH points more toward Uskok Klis than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Uskok Klis +0.25
@ 1.90
Best Available Price · BetVictor
Line Edge
0.57
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.49
Price Advantage
+27.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.35 / 1.89 -0.25 2.35 / 1.89 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.37 / 1.89 -0.25 2.37 / 1.89 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.46 / 1.91 -0.25 2.47 / 1.90 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.32
xG 1.12 / 1.48 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.35
Hrvatski Dragovoljac @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
3.04
Hrvatski Dragovoljac @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.35 vs 3.04
Market price is 22.7% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.70 4.20
-1.00 4.80 3.34
-0.75 3.34 2.52
-0.25 2.37 1.89
0 2.06 1.64
+0.25 1.74 1.48
+0.75 1.41 1.24
+1.00 1.24 1.12
+1.50 1.15 1.08

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.47 1.90
0 2.12 1.62
+0.25 1.78 1.46

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.70 4.20
-1.00 4.80 3.34
-0.75 3.34 2.52
-0.25 2.35 1.89
0 2.06 1.64
+0.25 1.74 1.47
+0.75 1.41 1.24
+1.00 1.24 1.12
+1.50 1.15 1.08
Primary Bets
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