El Entag EL Harby vs La Viena FC Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

El Entag EL Harby
Final Score
2 – 0
(HT 1-0)
La Viena FC
Kick-off 12:30 Stadium Al Salam Stadium

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

El Entag EL Harby opened at -0.25 against La Viena FC in the Second League. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.23
El Entag EL Harby +0.23

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

xG (pre-match) 1.17 / 1.43
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
El Entag EL Harby -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 3 / 3 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.48
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.48 AH points more toward La Viena FC than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
La Viena FC +0.25
@ 2.93
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.48
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.55
Price Advantage
+89.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
12:30
Opening
-0.25
12:01
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.69 / 3.04 -0.25 1.79 / 2.83 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.90 / 2.93 -0.25 1.90 / 2.93 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.70 / 3.04 -0.25 1.81 / 2.84 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.45 8.30
-1.00 3.42 7.20
-0.75 2.53 4.40
-0.25 1.81 2.84
0 1.48 2.39
+0.25 1.34 1.85
+0.75 1.14 1.42
+1.00 1.03 1.23

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.45 8.30
-1.00 3.42 7.20
-0.75 2.52 4.40
-0.25 1.79 2.83
0 1.48 2.39
+0.25 1.33 1.83
+0.75 1.14 1.41
+1.00 1.03 1.23

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.22 3.42
-0.25 1.90 2.93
0 1.54 2.45
+0.25 1.38 1.92
+0.50 1.29 1.65
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
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