Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Olympiakos Piraeus
Oct 11, 2026 - 18:00
1.60 0.80
Panathinaikos
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
6 / 6 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Olympiakos Piraeus opened at -0.25 against Panathinaikos in the Super League 1. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.75
Olympiakos Piraeus -0.75

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Olympiakos Piraeus -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.50
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.50 AH points more toward Olympiakos Piraeus than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Olympiakos Piraeus -0.25
@ 1.90
Best Available Price · Betano
Line Edge
0.50
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.55
Price Advantage
+22.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.76 / 2.84 -0.25 1.76 / 2.84 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.83 / 3.01 -0.25 1.86 / 2.97 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.75 / 3.10 -0.25 1.85 / 2.85 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.84 / 2.85 -0.25 1.80 / 2.84 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.90 / 2.87 -0.25 1.90 / 2.87 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.79 / 2.79 -0.25 1.79 / 2.79 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.75
xG 1.60 / 0.80 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.86
Olympiakos Piraeus @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.55
Olympiakos Piraeus @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.86 vs 1.55
Market price is 20.0% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.10 8.10
-1.25 3.58 7.50
-1.00 3.14 6.90
-0.75 2.39 4.32
-0.25 1.80 2.84
0 1.50 2.45
+0.25 1.34 1.93
+0.75 1.14 1.46
+1.00 1.04 1.27
+1.25 1.03 1.21
+1.50 1.02 1.16

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.25 3.80 7.00
-1.00 3.45 6.60
-0.75 2.50 4.25
-0.50 2.15 3.30
-0.25 1.85 2.85
0 1.55 2.38
+0.25 1.40 1.95
+0.50 1.32 1.68
+0.75 1.21 1.50
+1.00 1.11 1.30
+1.25 1.10 1.25

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.79 2.79
0 1.50 2.36
+0.25 1.37 1.88

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.20 3.30
-0.25 1.90 2.87
+0.25 1.44 1.95
+0.50 1.35 1.70

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.10 8.10
-1.25 3.58 7.50
-1.00 3.14 6.90
-0.75 2.39 4.33
-0.25 1.76 2.84
0 1.50 2.45
+0.25 1.34 1.89
+0.75 1.15 1.46
+1.00 1.04 1.27
+1.25 1.03 1.21
+1.50 1.02 1.16

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.56 4.45
-0.50 2.16 3.42
-0.25 1.86 2.97
0 1.55 2.49
+0.25 1.40 1.98
+0.50 1.31 1.71
+0.75 1.21 1.52
Primary Bets
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