Iraklis 1908 vs Levadiakos Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Iraklis 1908
Oct 11, 2026 - 14:00
1.25 1.27
Levadiakos
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
6 / 6 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Iraklis 1908 opened at -0.25 against Levadiakos in the Super League 1. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.02
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Iraklis 1908 -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.27
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.27 AH points more toward Levadiakos than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Levadiakos +0.25
@ 2.90
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.27
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.71
Price Advantage
+69.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.85 / 2.76 -0.25 1.85 / 2.76 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.87 / 3.11 -0.25 1.97 / 2.90 — 0
Bet365 0 1.72 / 2.08 -0.25 1.90 / 2.85 — -0.25
1xBet 0 1.74 / 2.02 -0.25 1.89 / 2.76 — -0.25
Betano -0.25 1.95 / 2.82 -0.25 1.95 / 2.82 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.85 / 2.73 -0.25 1.87 / 2.70 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.02
xG 1.25 / 1.27 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.97
Iraklis 1908 @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.40
Iraklis 1908 @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.97 vs 2.40
Market price is 17.9% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.60 8.00
-1.25 4.10 7.40
-1.00 3.58 6.80
-0.75 2.60 4.24
-0.25 1.89 2.76
0 1.55 2.33
+0.25 1.36 1.84
+0.75 1.15 1.39
+1.00 1.04 1.21
+1.25 1.03 1.16
+1.50 1.02 1.13

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.25 4.10 7.00
-1.00 3.55 7.00
-0.75 2.68 4.40
-0.50 2.20 3.45
-0.25 1.90 2.85
0 1.55 2.38
+0.25 1.40 1.90
+0.50 1.30 1.65
+0.75 1.20 1.45
+1.00 1.10 1.27
+1.25 1.10 1.23

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.87 2.70
0 1.55 2.25
+0.25 1.39 1.80

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.32 3.20
-0.25 1.95 2.82
+0.25 1.45 1.88
+0.50 1.37 1.65

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.60 8.00
-1.25 4.10 7.40
-1.00 3.58 6.80
-0.75 2.60 4.25
-0.25 1.85 2.76
0 1.55 2.33
+0.25 1.36 1.80
+0.75 1.15 1.39
+1.00 1.04 1.21
+1.25 1.03 1.16
+1.50 1.02 1.13

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.82 4.46
-0.50 2.32 3.40
-0.25 1.97 2.90
0 1.60 2.38
+0.25 1.42 1.87
+0.50 1.32 1.62
+0.75 1.21 1.44
Primary Bets
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