Karlovac 1919 vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Karlovac 1919
Final Score
3 – 2
(HT 0-1)
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Kick-off 16:00 Stadium Stadion Branko Cavlovic-Cavlek

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Karlovac 1919 opened at 0 against Bsk Bijelo Brdo in the First NL. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.05
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.27 / 1.33
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Karlovac 1919 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 5 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.05
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.05 AH points more toward Bsk Bijelo Brdo than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

Price advantage is below the lean threshold.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
02:15
Opening
0
13:11
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.71 / 1.96 0 1.86 / 1.80 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.89 / 1.86 0 1.89 / 1.86 — 0
Bet365 0 1.78 / 2.02 0 1.85 / 1.95 — 0
1xBet 0 1.71 / 1.96 0 1.86 / 1.80 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.73 / 1.96 0 1.83 / 1.84 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.05 5.75
-1.25 4.31 5.24
-1.00 4.95 4.70
-0.75 3.28 3.14
-0.25 2.24 2.15
0 1.86 1.80
+0.25 1.56 1.55
+0.75 1.27 1.25
+1.00 1.12 1.11
+1.25 1.09 1.15
+1.50 1.07 1.06

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.50 5.90
-1.25 4.80 5.50
-1.00 4.25 4.80
-0.75 3.10 3.45
-0.50 2.50 2.68
-0.25 2.20 2.35
0 1.85 1.95
+0.25 1.58 1.65
+0.50 1.45 1.50
+0.75 1.30 1.35
+1.00 1.18 1.21
+1.25 1.15 1.18
+1.50 1.13 1.15

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.59 2.59
-0.25 2.21 2.22
0 1.83 1.84
+0.25 1.56 1.57
+0.50 1.42 1.42

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.05 5.75
-1.25 4.70 5.25
-1.00 4.95 4.70
-0.75 3.28 3.14
-0.25 2.21 2.15
0 1.86 1.80
+0.25 1.56 1.53
+0.75 1.27 1.25
+1.00 1.12 1.11
+1.25 1.09 1.12
+1.50 1.07 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.27 3.23
-0.50 2.63 2.60
-0.25 2.28 2.25
0 1.89 1.86
+0.25 1.59 1.57
+0.50 1.43 1.42
+0.75 1.29 1.28
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
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