Dibba Al Hisn vs Al Bataeh Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Dibba Al Hisn
Oct 11, 2026 - 13:10
1.42 1.18
Al Bataeh
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Dibba Al Hisn opened at -0.25 against Al Bataeh in the Division 1. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.21
Dibba Al Hisn -0.21

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Dibba Al Hisn -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.04
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.04 AH points more toward Al Bataeh than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Al Bataeh +0.25
@ 2.48
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.04
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.96
Price Advantage
+26.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.79 / 2.52 -0.25 1.85 / 2.43 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.95 / 2.48 -0.25 1.95 / 2.48 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.81 / 2.52 -0.25 1.87 / 2.43 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.68 / 2.19 -0.25 1.68 / 2.19 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.21
xG 1.42 / 1.18 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.95
Dibba Al Hisn @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.04
Dibba Al Hisn @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.95 vs 2.04
Market price is 4.4% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.10 5.95
-1.00 3.28 5.00
-0.75 2.49 3.42
-0.25 1.87 2.43
0 1.61 2.11
+0.25 1.44 1.79
+0.75 1.23 1.42
+1.00 1.10 1.25
+1.50 1.07 1.16

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.68 2.19
0 1.47 1.92
+0.25 1.35 1.65

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.10 5.95
-1.00 3.28 5.00
-0.75 2.49 3.42
-0.25 1.85 2.43
0 1.61 2.11
+0.25 1.44 1.77
+0.75 1.23 1.42
+1.00 1.10 1.25
+1.50 1.07 1.16

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.22 2.83
-0.25 1.95 2.48
0 1.65 2.14
+0.25 1.47 1.81
+0.50 1.37 1.61
Primary Bets
More