Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Radcliffe
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
1.23 1.37
Scarborough Athletic
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 5 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Radcliffe opened at -0.25 against Scarborough Athletic in the National League - North. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.12
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Radcliffe -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.37
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 5 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.37 AH points more toward Scarborough Athletic than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Radcliffe -0.25
@ 3.10
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.37
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.59
Price Advantage
+19.7%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 3.08 / 1.57 -0.25 2.49 / 1.81 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.55 / 1.95 -0.25 2.55 / 1.95 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 3.10 / 1.65 -0.25 3.10 / 1.95 — 0
1xBet -0.25 3.08 / 1.57 -0.25 2.49 / 1.81 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.50 / 1.86 -0.25 2.50 / 1.86 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.12
xG 1.23 / 1.37 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.55
Radcliffe @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.59
Radcliffe @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.55 vs 2.59
Market price is 1.5% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.95 3.84
-1.25 5.50 3.42
-1.00 5.10 3.08
-0.75 3.50 2.38
-0.25 2.49 1.81
0 2.15 1.56
+0.25 1.81 1.42
+0.75 1.46 1.22
+1.00 1.30 1.10
+1.25 1.23 1.08
+1.50 1.18 1.07

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.25 7.00 2.85
-1.00 6.60 2.50
-0.75 4.40 2.10
-0.50 3.55 1.88
-0.25 3.10 1.95
0 2.75 1.42
+0.25 1.85 1.35
+0.50 1.92 1.27
+0.75 1.70 1.20
+1.00 1.50 1.11
+1.25 1.40 1.10

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.50 1.86
0 2.15 1.60
+0.25 1.81 1.45

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.95 3.84
-1.25 5.50 3.42
-1.00 5.10 3.08
-0.75 3.50 2.38
-0.25 2.49 1.81
0 2.15 1.56
+0.25 1.81 1.42
+0.75 1.46 1.22
+1.00 1.30 1.10
+1.25 1.23 1.08
+1.50 1.18 1.07

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.91 2.22
-0.25 2.55 1.95
0 2.21 1.65
+0.25 1.86 1.48
+0.50 1.65 1.38
Primary Bets
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